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House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data

Author

Listed:
  • Gorea, Denis
  • Kryvtsov, Oleksiy
  • Kudlyak, Marianna

Abstract

Existing literature documents that house prices respond to monetary policy surprises with a significant delay, taking years to reach their peak response. We present new evidence of a much faster response. We exploit information contained in listings for the residential properties for sale in the United States between 2001 and 2019 from the CoreLogic Multiple Listing Service Dataset. Using high-frequency measures of monetary policy shocks, we document that a one-standard-deviation contractionary monetary policy surprise lowers housing list prices by 0.2--0.3 percent within two weeks---a magnitude on par with the effect on stock prices. House prices respond stronger to the surprises to future rates as compared to the surprise changes in the federal funds rate. Sale prices are mostly pre-determined by list prices and do not independently respond to monetary policy surprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Gorea, Denis & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2023. "House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 18545, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18545
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; House prices; Transmission of monetary policy; List and sales prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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