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How Will the Euro behave?

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  • Cohen, Daniel

Abstract

This paper investigates theoretically and empirically the effect on exchange rates of integrating monetary policy in Europe. It shows that the likely effect will be to generate a tighter European monetary policy (notwithstanding credibility aspects which are not discussed). The argument is that trade disequilibria will be less of a threat to European monetary policy than it is at the moment. Under certain circumstances, which are explored in the text, this could lead to a more volatile euro than we have currently (as a basket of currencies).

Suggested Citation

  • Cohen, Daniel, 1997. "How Will the Euro behave?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1673, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1673
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J. & Gordon, David B., 1983. "Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 101-121.
    2. Cohen, Daniel & Wyplosz, Charles, 1995. "Price and trade effects of exchange rate fluctuations and the design of policy coordination," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 331-347, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro; European Monetary Integration; Exchange Rate Fluctuations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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