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State-dependent pricing turns money into a two-edged sword

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  • Minford, Patrick
  • Le, Vo Phuong Mai
  • Meenagh, David

Abstract

Strong evidence exists that price/wage durations are dependent on the state of the economy, especially inflation. We embed this dependence in a macro model of the US that otherwise does well in matching the economy's behaviour in the last three decades; it now also matches it over the whole post-war period. This finding implies a major new role for monetary policy: besides controlling inflation it now determines the economy's price stickiness. We find that, when backed by fiscal policy in preventing a ZLB, by targeting nominal GDP monetary policy can achieve high price stability and avoid large cyclical output fluctuations.

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  • Minford, Patrick & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David, 2020. "State-dependent pricing turns money into a two-edged sword," CEPR Discussion Papers 15551, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15551
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Melina, Giovanni & Villa, Stefania, 2023. "Drivers of large recessions and monetary policy responses," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael R. Wickens, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Controversy Over Price Rigidity — How to Resolve it and How Bayesian Estimation has Led us Astray," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 617-630, September.
    3. Chen, Haixia & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "UK Monetary Policy in An Estimated DSGE Model with State-Dependent Price and Wage Contracts," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/22, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    4. Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Where next for monetary policy? lessons from the financial crisis and the pandemic," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/25, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    State-dependence; New keynesian; Rational expectations; Crises; Price stability; Nominal gdp;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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