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Real business cycles and the animal spirits hypothesis in a CIA economy

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  • Barinci, Jean-Paul
  • Chéron, Arnaud

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamical properties of a one-sector cash-indvance constraint model with constant returns to scale. Its aim is to overcome some of the difficulties encountered by earlier models in establishing the empirical relevance of indeterminacy and sunspots. It is first established that, in opposition to available results, indeterminacy occurs for values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in consumption consistent with the bulk of empirical estimates. It is then shown that sunspot shocks generate procyclical movements in consumption. Lastly, allowing both beliefs and technological disturbances, the model is found to perform as well as real sunspot models with increasing returns to scale in matching the business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Barinci, Jean-Paul & Chéron, Arnaud, 2001. "Real business cycles and the animal spirits hypothesis in a CIA economy," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 0110, CEPREMAP.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:0110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger E. A. Farmer, 1997. "Money in a real business cycle model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Nov, pages 568-623.
    2. Campbell, John Y., 1999. "Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 19, pages 1231-1303, Elsevier.
    3. Harrison, Sharon G., 2001. "Indeterminacy in a model with sector-specific externalities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 747-764, May.
    4. Hansen, Gary D., 1985. "Indivisible labor and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 309-327, November.
    5. King, Robert G. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1999. "Resuscitating real business cycles," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 927-1007, Elsevier.
    6. Barinci, Jean-Paul & Cheron, Arnaud, 2001. "Sunspots and the Business Cycle in a Finance Constrained Economy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 30-49, March.
    7. Wen, Yi, 1998. "Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 7-36, July.
    8. Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G, 1997. "Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Implications," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(2), pages 249-283, April.
    9. Benhabib Jess & Farmer Roger E. A., 1994. "Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 19-41, June.
    10. Bennett, Rosalind L. & Farmer, Roger E. A., 2000. "Indeterminacy with Non-separable Utility," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 118-143, July.
    11. Sossounov, Kirill A, 2000. "Analyzing Indeterminacies in a Real Business Cycle Model with Money: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(2), pages 280-291, May.
    12. Farmer Roger E. A. & Guo Jang-Ting, 1994. "Real Business Cycles and the Animal Spirits Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 42-72, June.
    13. Benhabib, Jess & Farmer, Roger E.A., 1999. "Indeterminacy and sunspots in macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 387-448, Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefano Bosi & Francesco Magris & Alain Venditti, 2005. "Multiple equilibria in a cash‐in‐advance two‐sector economy," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 1(2), pages 131-149, June.

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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