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Scale effect in a LUTI model of Brussels: challenges for policy evaluation

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  • Jonathan JONES
  • Dominique PEETERS
  • Isabelle THOMAS

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to assess the reliability of policy evaluation based on Land Use and Transport Interactions models, relative to the choice of the Basic Spatial Units. An UrbanSim (+ MATsim) model applied to Brussels (Belgium) is used as the case study. The evolution of the study area over ten years is forecasted for four levels of Basic Spatial Units and five scenarios (business-as-usual and four alternatives). Results show larger variations between Basic Spatial Units levels than across scenarios. These findings are valid for various sustainability indicators and for a simple cost-benefit analysis aiming at ranking the scenarios. The direction of the variations resulting from the implementation of the scenarios remains, however, the same for all Basic Spatial Units levels. Hence, the influence of the scale on policy evaluation based on Land Use and Transport Interactions models appears limited when it is only intended to compare scenarios, but it will have a crucial role when evaluations are based on absolute variations or threshold values.
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Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan JONES & Dominique PEETERS & Isabelle THOMAS, 2017. "Scale effect in a LUTI model of Brussels: challenges for policy evaluation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2824, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvrp:2824
    Note: In : European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, 17(1), 103-131, 2017
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    1. Eliasson, Jonas, 2009. "A cost-benefit analysis of the Stockholm congestion charging system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 468-480, May.
    2. David Simmonds & Paul Waddell & Michael Wegener, 2013. "Equilibrium versus Dynamics in Urban Modelling," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 40(6), pages 1051-1070, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gelauff, George & Ossokina, Ioulia & Teulings, Coen, 2019. "Spatial and welfare effects of automated driving: Will cities grow, decline or both?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 277-294.
    2. Arnaud Adam & Jean-Charles Delvenne & Isabelle Thomas, 2018. "Detecting communities with the multi-scale Louvain method: robustness test on the metropolitan area of Brussels," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 363-386, October.

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