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Dinámica de los precios de los productos lácteos en Colombia : El caso del Departamento de Córdoba

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  • Omar Enrique Castillo Nunez

Abstract

Utilizando técnicas estadísticas y econométricas, como la media móvil multiplicativa, cointegración y funciones de impulso -respuesta, en este trabajo se analiza las relaciones de largo y corto plazo entre el precio al productor de leche y del queso costeno a nivel mayorista en Córdoba, Colombia. Se evidencia una fuerte estacionalidad: los precios se elevan entre Noviembre-Abril, y descienden entre Mayo-Octubre. La elasticidad de transmisión de largo plazo indica que un aumento del 1% en el precio al productor de leche aumenta el precio del queso a nivel mayorista en 0,69%. Un shock inesperado en estos mercados genera inestabilidad y una trayectoria contracíclica del precio. Los resultados obtenidos son plausibles; el comportamiento contracíclico confirma el papel amortiguador de la producción de queso para evitar caídas o subidas más drásticas del precio al productor de leche en épocas críticas.

Suggested Citation

  • Omar Enrique Castillo Nunez, 2012. "Dinámica de los precios de los productos lácteos en Colombia : El caso del Departamento de Córdoba," Revista de Economía del Caribe 10283, Universidad del Norte.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000382:010283
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    elasticidad de transmisión del precio; estacionalidad; cointegración; choques no esperados;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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