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No Siempre Pobres, No Siempre Ricos: Vulnerabilidad En Colombia

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  • Jairo Núnez
  • Silvia Espinosa

Abstract

Las políticas públicas no deben dirigirse solamente a combatir la pobreza, sino también a reducir la vulnerabilidad de los hogares ante la pobreza futura. A falta de encuestas de hogares panel que permitan calcular la incidencia y los determinantes de la vulnerabilidad en Colombia, este trabajo utiliza una metodología que permite realizar un análisis de este tipo utilizando encuestas de hogares de corte transversal, y que ha sido validada para algunos países que cuentan con encuestas tipo panel. Este trabajo estima qué tan vulnerables son los hogares colombianos y las principales características asociadas a este fenómeno, definiendo la vulnerabilidad como la probabilidad que tiene un hogar de estar en pobreza en el futuro. Los resultados muestran que alrededor del 20% de los hogares colombianos, además de estar actualmente en pobreza, tienen una alta probabilidad de permanecer en ella, i.e. son pobres crónicos. Por su parte, cerca de un 18% de los hogares son vulnerables a la pobreza, aunque no son pobres en la actualidad. En adición, la vulnerabilidad es más común que la pobreza, y algunas características como la ubicación regional del hogar, la proporción de ninos en el hogar y el nivel educativo del jefe de hogar modifican la vulnerabilidad promedio de los hogares.

Suggested Citation

  • Jairo Núnez & Silvia Espinosa, 2005. "No Siempre Pobres, No Siempre Ricos: Vulnerabilidad En Colombia," Documentos CEDE 3275, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:003275
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    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstream/handle/1992/7922/dcede2005-15.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Jonathan Morduch, 1995. "Income Smoothing and Consumption Smoothing," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(3), pages 103-114, Summer.
    3. Kochar, Anjini, 1995. "Explaining Household Vulnerability to Idiosyncratic Income Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(2), pages 159-164, May.
    4. Maloney, William F., 2001. "Evaluating emergency programs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2728, The World Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo Arguello C & Daniel Valderrama G. & Sandra Acero W., 2011. "Poverty impacts of agricultural policy adjustments in an opening economy: the case of Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo 8575, Universidad del Rosario.
    2. Rodrigo Azuero Melo, 2014. "Wealth and the Construction of Non-Cognitive Skills. The Case of Colombia," Documentos CEDE 11950, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Vulnerabilidad;

    JEL classification:

    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being

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