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Unemployment Dynamics in Chile: 1960-2015

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  • Alberto Naudon
  • Andrés Pérez

Abstract

As a proxy for Chile's labor market, we analyze labor market flows of the Metropolitan Region of Santiago throughout the last fifty years. Following Shimer (2012) and others, we calculate job finding and job separation rates (hazard rates) to and from employment and unemployment considering unemployment stocks. Interestingly enough, even though the current trend unemployment rate is not materially different to what it was fifty years ago, our results suggest the labor market is considerably more dynamic. The increase in trend hazard rates occurs in the context of significant changes in economic growth, ongoing reallocation of output towards services relative to manufacturing, important regulatory changes in the labor market, and a gradual shift in the composition of the labor force. In addition, our estimates suggest that changes in the finding rate are relatively more important than changes in the separation rate in explaining the variance of the unemployment rate. From an international perspective our estimates suggest that in spite of having relatively rigid labor legislation, the Chilean labor market appears to be as dynamic as an average Anglo-Saxon country, yet less dynamic than the labor market of the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Naudon & Andrés Pérez, 2017. "Unemployment Dynamics in Chile: 1960-2015," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 800, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:800
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elias Albagli & Alberto Naudon & Benjamin Garcia & Matias Tapia & Sebastian Guarda, 2019. "Job Ladders and Labor Productivity Dynamics," 2019 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Stefano Banfi & Benjamin Villena-Roldan & Sekyu Choi, 2018. "Deconstructing job search behavior," 2018 Meeting Papers 368, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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