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Flipping a Coin: Theory and Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Nadja Dwenger
  • Dorothea Kübler
  • Georg Weizsäcker

Abstract

We investigate the possibility that a decision-maker prefers to avoid making a decision and instead delegates it to an external device, e.g., a coin flip. In a series of experiments the participants often choose lotteries between allocations, which contradicts most theories of choice such as expected utility but is consistent with a theory of responsibility aversion that implies a preference for randomness. A large data set on university applications in Germany shows a choice pattern that is also consistent with this theory and entails substantial allocative consequences.

Suggested Citation

  • Nadja Dwenger & Dorothea Kübler & Georg Weizsäcker, 2014. "Flipping a Coin: Theory and Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 4740, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4740
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp4740.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio & David Dillenberger & Pietro Ortoleva, 2015. "Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 693-728, March.
    2. Dillenberger, David & Segal, Uzi, 2017. "Skewed noise," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 344-364.
    3. Dwenger, Nadja & Kübler, Dorothea & Weizsäcker, Georg, 2018. "Flipping a coin: Evidence from university applications," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 167, pages 240-250.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    preference for randomization; menu-dependent preference; individual decision making; university choice; matching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles

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