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Fiscal Multipliers and the Choice of Zero Lower Bound Modeling

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Listed:
  • Thomas Siemsen
  • Sebastian Watzka

Abstract

In this note we elaborate on the effect of the modeling choice of the zero lower bound on the size of the fiscal multiplier. To this end we contrast two different ways to implement the ZLB in a New Keynesian model: the ZLB modeled as an endogenous central bank reaction to a contractionary demand shock as in Christiano, Eichenbaum, Rebelo (2011) and the ZLB modeled as an exogenous monetary shock as in Cogan, Cwik, Taylor, Wieland (2010). We find that only the former treat the ZLB as an appropriate constraint for policy. We show that the economic significant differences in the size of the fiscal multiplier are not only due to differences in the timing assumption of government spending but also driven by the choice of the ZLB modeling. Ceteris paribus, the impact multiplier is higher if the ZLB is modeled appropriately as a constraint.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Siemsen & Sebastian Watzka, 2013. "Fiscal Multipliers and the Choice of Zero Lower Bound Modeling," CESifo Working Paper Series 4342, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4342
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lawrence J. Christiano, 2010. "Comment on Eggertsson, \"What fiscal policy is effective at zero interest rates?\"," FRB Atlanta CQER Working Paper 2010-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    2. Cogan, John F. & Cwik, Tobias & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2010. "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 281-295, March.
    3. Lawrence Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2011. "When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 78-121.
    4. Gauti B. Eggertsson, 2011. "What Fiscal Policy Is Effective at Zero Interest Rates?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, volume 25, pages 59-112, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bletzinger, Tilman & Lalik, Magdalena, 2017. "The impact of constrained monetary policy on fiscal multipliers on output and inflation," Working Paper Series 2019, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    zero lower bound; fiscal multipliers; fiscal policy; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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