IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps/_10945.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Brexit and Foreign Students in Gravity

Author

Listed:
  • Ronald B. Davies
  • Lena S. Specht

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of Brexit on international student migration. In a structural gravity model, we estimate student migration between 69 countries for counterfactual scenarios in which the United Kingdom leaves the European Union one year before the referendum. This exercise reveals a decrease in exchange students studying in the UK of around 3.8% to 4.9%. While the number of non-EU students to the UK rises, a drop in EU student numbers drives this result. Similarly, 30% to 38% fewer UK students choose to study abroad. The estimated changes in international student stocks show that most other member countries lose international students and non-EU countries host more than without Brexit. Our findings provide evidence that there may be hidden costs to Brexit affecting global student exchanges that we have yet to see.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald B. Davies & Lena S. Specht, 2024. "Brexit and Foreign Students in Gravity," CESifo Working Paper Series 10945, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10945
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp10945.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mario Larch & Yoto V. Yotov, 2016. "General Equilibrium Trade Policy Analysis with Structural Gravity," CESifo Working Paper Series 6020, CESifo.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zouheir El-Sahli, 2023. "The Partial and General Equilibrium Effects of the Greater Arab Free Trade Agreement," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 185-199, March.
    2. Agnosteva, Delina E. & Anderson, James E. & Yotov, Yoto V., 2019. "Intra-national trade costs: Assaying regional frictions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 32-50.
    3. Gabriel Felbermayr & Hendrik Mahlkow & Alexander Sandkamp, 2023. "Cutting through the value chain: the long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 75-108, February.
    4. Iliev, Dragomir & Stefanov, Galin & Yotov, Yoto, 2016. "Estimating Bulgaria’S Trade Borders With The Eu An Application Of The Empirical Gravity Model Of Trade," Business Management, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4, pages 1-3.
    5. Anirudh Shingal & Prachi Agarwal, 2020. "How did trade in GVC-based products respond to previous health shocks? Lessons for COVID-19," RSCAS Working Papers 2020/68, European University Institute.
    6. Harald Oberhofer & Michael Pfaffermayr & Richard Sellner, 2021. "Revisiting time as a trade barrier: Evidence from a panel structural gravity model," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1382-1417, November.
    7. Benedikt Heid & Mario Larch & Yoto V. Yotov, 2021. "Estimating the effects of non‐discriminatory trade policies within structural gravity models," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 376-409, February.
    8. Stefan Borsky & Andrea Leiter & Michael Pfaffermayr, 2018. "Product quality and sustainability: The effect of international environmental agreements on bilateral trade," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(11), pages 3098-3129, November.
    9. Baier, Scott L. & Yotov, Yoto V. & Zylkin, Thomas, 2019. "On the widely differing effects of free trade agreements: Lessons from twenty years of trade integration," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 206-226.
    10. Borchert, Ingo & Yotov, Yoto V., 2017. "Distance, globalization, and international trade," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 32-38.
    11. Luca Alfieri, 2021. "Heterogeneity of financial institutions in the process of economic and monetary integration in East Asia," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 1053-1076, April.
    12. Ellalee, Haider & Alali, Walid Y., 2018. "Brexit Impact on the UK Trade Agreements," MPRA Paper 117509, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jan 2018.
    13. Yoto V. Yotov, 2024. "The evolution of structural gravity: The workhorse model of trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(4), pages 578-603, October.
    14. Dimitar Zlatinov & Nedko Kosev & Stoyan Shalamanov, 2022. "Regional Electricity Trade in South East Europe – Findings from a Panel Structural Gravity Model," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 3-18.
    15. Sebastián Villano, 2024. "Comparative Perspectives on Trade Cost Geography: Latin American Insights," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 24-12, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    16. Luca Alfieri, 2018. "Heterogeneity Of Financial Institutions In The Process Of Economic And Monetary Integration In East Asia," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 112, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
    17. Michael Pfaffermayr, 2020. "Constrained Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood estimation of structural gravity models," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 188-198.
    18. Anna Golovko & Hasan Sahin, 2021. "Analysis of international trade integration of Eurasian countries: gravity model approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 519-548, September.
    19. Zongo, Amara, 2021. "The impact of services trade restrictiveness on food trade," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 71-94.
    20. Abdulkareem Alhassan & Cem Payaslioğlu, 2024. "Trade Diversion and Creation Effect of Free Trade Agreements in ASEAN: Do Institutions Matter?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 917-935, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    international migration; international students; gravity model; Brexit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10945. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cesifde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.