IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cde/cdewps/335.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Does Financial Inclusion Enhance Tax Revenue: Indian Experience

Author

Listed:
  • Surender Kumar

    (Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics)

  • Paramjit Author-Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics

Abstract

The Government of India has taken several initiatives to enhance financial inclusion in the country. It is hypothesized that financial inclusion augments tax revenue through increased business development and private consumption. This paper uses panel data structural break methods to comprehend the effectiveness of the schemes launched in the last decade. It also estimates a causal relationship between tax revenue and financial inclusion using the dynamic Generalised Method of Moments (GMM). The study finds structural breaks in the relationship between tax revenue and deposit or credit account rates in 2014, which concurs with the launch of PMJDY. The PM MUDRA scheme was launched in 2015, and the 95% confidence level in the estimated structural breaks was in the period of [2013 2015]. These structural breaks reveal the effectiveness of the recent financial inclusion steps taken by the Indian government. Another significant finding is that all the pre-break and post-break coefficients of financial inclusion indicators are statistically significant that reflect the effectiveness of the policies in meeting the targeted objectives. The government should strengthen the ongoing measures of financial inclusion for eliminating financial untouchability and augmenting states’ fiscal capacity. Key Words: Financial inclusion, Tax-revenue-SGDP ratio, Structural breaks; PMJDY, PM MUDRA JEL Classification: C13; O16; G21; G28, G15

Suggested Citation

  • Surender Kumar & Paramjit Author-Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, 2023. "Does Financial Inclusion Enhance Tax Revenue: Indian Experience," Working papers 335, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:cde:cdewps:335
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cdedse.org/pdf/work335.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen Cecchetti & Enisse Kharroubi, 2012. "Reassessing the impact of finance on growth," BIS Working Papers 381, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Chanda, Areendam & Cook, C. Justin, 2022. "Was India’s demonetization redistributive? Insights from satellites and surveys," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Patrick Honohan, 2004. "Financial development, growth, and poverty: how close are the links?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3203, The World Bank.
    4. Ms. Ratna Sahay & Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Ms. Srobona Mitra & Ms. Annette J Kyobe & Yen N Mooi & Mr. Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2015. "Financial Inclusion: Can it Meet Multiple Macroeconomic Goals?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/017, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    6. Ahamed, M. Mostak, 2016. "Does inclusive financial development matter for firms’ tax evasion? Evidence from developing countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 15-19.
    7. Niloy Bose & Salvatore Capasso & Martin Andreas Wurm, 2012. "The impact of banking development on the size of shadow economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 39(6), pages 620-638, December.
    8. Robin Burgess & Rohini Pande, 2005. "Do Rural Banks Matter? Evidence from the Indian Social Banking Experiment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(3), pages 780-795, June.
    9. Philippe Aghion & Patrick Bolton, 1997. "A Theory of Trickle-Down Growth and Development," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(2), pages 151-172.
    10. Niloy Bose & Salvatore Capasso & Martin Andreas Wurm, 2012. "The impact of banking development on the size of shadow economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(6), pages 620-638, October.
    11. Pascaline Dupas & Jonathan Robinson, 2013. "Why Don't the Poor Save More? Evidence from Health Savings Experiments," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(4), pages 1138-1171, June.
    12. John Bosco Nnyanzi & John Bbale & Richard Sendi, 2018. "Financial Development and Tax Revenue: How Catalytic Are Political Development and Corruption?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(8), pages 1-92, August.
    13. Singh, Vinay Kumar & Ghosh, Sajal, 2021. "Financial inclusion and economic growth in India amid demonetization: A case study based on panel cointegration and causality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 674-693.
    14. Anjini Kochar, 2011. "The Distributive Consequences of Social Banking: A Microempirical Analysis of the Indian Experience," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(2), pages 251-280.
    15. Ismail Ertürk & Indradeep Ghosh & Kadambari Shah, 2022. "Financial untouchability: a polysemic narrative of digital financial inclusion in Modi’s India," Journal of Cultural Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 30-51, January.
    16. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2015. "Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 1089-1117, December.
    17. Banerjee, Abhijit V & Newman, Andrew F, 1993. "Occupational Choice and the Process of Development," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(2), pages 274-298, April.
    18. Fulford, Scott L., 2013. "The effects of financial development in the short and long run: Theory and evidence from India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 56-72.
    19. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2007. "Finance, inequality and the poor," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 27-49, March.
    20. Meenakshi Rishi & Sweta Saxena, 2004. "Technological innovations in the Indian banking industry: the late bloomer," Accounting History Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 339-353.
    21. Niloy Bose & Salvatore Capasso & Martin Andreas Wurm, 2012. "The impact of banking development on the size of shadow economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(6), pages 620-638, October.
    22. Ghosh, Saibal & Vinod, D., 2017. "What Constrains Financial Inclusion for Women? Evidence from Indian Micro data," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 60-81.
    23. Ratna Sahay & Martin Cihak & Papa M N'Diaye & Adolfo Barajas & Srobona Mitra & Annette J Kyobe & Yen N Mooi & Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2015. "Financial Inclusion; Can it Meet Multiple Macroeconomic Goals?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 15/17, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Gamze Oz-Yalaman, 2019. "Financial inclusion and tax revenue," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(3), pages 107-113.
    25. Naeem Akram, 2016. "Do Financial Sector Activities Affect Tax Revenue in Pakistan?," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 21(2), pages 153-169, July-Dec.
    26. Derryl D'Silva & Zuzana Filkova & Frank Packer & Siddharth Tiwari, 2019. "The design of digital financial infrastructure: lessons from India," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 106.
    27. Ahamed, M. Mostak & Mallick, Sushanta K., 2019. "Is financial inclusion good for bank stability? International evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 403-427.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Surender Kumar, 2024. "Do Digital Payments Spur Gst Revenue: Indian Experience," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(3), pages 459-482, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Singh, Vinay Kumar & Ghosh, Sajal, 2021. "Financial inclusion and economic growth in India amid demonetization: A case study based on panel cointegration and causality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 674-693.
    2. Ma, Yechi & Ding, Yibing & Bu, Ziwen & Li, Suyang, 2024. "Political freedom and financial inclusion: Unraveling social trust and political rent-seeking," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 46-65.
    3. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "Effects of financial inclusion on financial stability: evidence from ssa countries," MPRA Paper 120238, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ayyagari, Meghana & Beck, Thorsten & Hoseini, Mohammad, 2020. "Finance, law and poverty: Evidence from India," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. James B. Ang, 2010. "Finance and Inequality: The Case of India," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 76(3), pages 738-761, January.
    6. Masoud Mohammed Albiman & Hamad Omar Bakar, 2022. "The Role of Financial Inclusion on Economic Growth in Sub Saharan African (SSA) Region," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 8(4), pages 363-384, October.
    7. Mohd Daud, Siti Nurazira & Ahmad, Abd Halim & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2024. "Financial inclusion, digital technology, and economic growth: Further evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    8. Thereza Balliester Reis, 2022. "Socio‐economic determinants of financial inclusion: An evaluation with a microdata multidimensional index," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 587-611, April.
    9. Feghali, Khalil & Mora, Nada & Nassif, Pamela, 2021. "Financial inclusion, bank market structure, and financial stability: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 236-257.
    10. Zhian Zhiow Augustinne Wong & Ramez Abubakr Badeeb & Abey P. Philip, 2023. "Financial Inclusion, Poverty, and Income Inequality in ASEAN Countries: Does Financial Innovation Matter?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 471-503, September.
    11. Atul MEHTA & Joysankar BHATTACHARYA, 2018. "Financial sector development and the poor in developing countries: revisiting the access to finance channel," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(616), A), pages 153-168, Autumn.
    12. Sheng Xu & Michael Asiedu & Nana Adwoa Anokye Effah, 2023. "Inclusive Finance, Gender Inequality, and Sustainable Economic Growth in Africa," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(4), pages 4866-4902, December.
    13. Emmanuel U. Haruna, 2023. "The multidimensional effect of financial development on the shadow economy in Africa: A dynamic panel analysis approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 327-365, May.
    14. Ndoya, Hermann & Okere, Donald & Belomo, Marie laure & Atangana, Melissa, 2023. "Does ICTs decrease the spread of informal economy in Africa?," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    15. Akisik, Orhan & Gal, Graham, 2023. "IFRS, financial development and income inequality: An empirical study using mediation analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    16. Mr. Boileau Loko & Yuanchen Yang, 2022. "Fintech, Female Employment, and Gender Inequality," IMF Working Papers 2022/108, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Klachkova, O. & Solonina, D., 2022. "The impact of financial development on income inequality in the Russian regions," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 54(2), pages 94-110.
    18. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "The impact of financial inclusion on financial stability: review of theories and international evidence," MPRA Paper 120369, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. D’Onofrio, Alexandra & Minetti, Raoul & Murro, Pierluigi, 2019. "Banking development, socioeconomic structure and income inequality," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 428-451.
    20. Meyer Bittencourt, Manoel F., 2006. "Financial Development and Inequality: Brazil 1985-99," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2006 5, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial inclusion; tax-revenue-sgdp ratio; structural breaks; pmjdy; pm mudra jel classification: c13; o16; g21; g28; g15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cde:cdewps:335. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sanjeev Sharma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cdudein.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.