The Impact of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 on Electric Utilitiesand Coal Mines: Evidence from the Stock Market

If new environmental regulation imposes significant costs on firms, it should be detected in theirstock prices. We use event study methodology to analyze whether President George H. Bush?s CleanAir Act Amendment (CAAA) proposals of June 1989, which were quite different from what had beenexpected, depressed stock prices in affected electricity generating and coal mining companies. We findthat shares of 35 electric generating companies owning Phase I power plants did not noticeably fall invalue after the Bush June 1989 announcement, nor after three other possibly relevant events during thepreceding year. In fact, these shares increased in value during June and July of 1989. In contrast,stock prices of 11 of the 12 coal mining companies fell after Bush announced his proposals, while stockprices of a large majority of these coal companies fell after two of the other three events (althoughsignificance levels make these results not entirely conclusive). We argue that expected profits of electricgenerating companies did not fall because the regulated price of electricity was typically allowed toincrease with costs. In the electricity industry, the costs of the CAAA were expected to be borneentirely by consumers in the form of higher prices.