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A Dynamic Analysis Of Human Welfare In A Warming Planet?

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Listed:
  • Joaquim Silvestre
  • Joaquim Silvestre
  • Humberto Llavador
  • John E. Roemer

    (Department of Economics, University of California Davis)

Abstract

Climate stabilization requires low GHG emissions. Is this consistent with nondecreasing human welfare? Our welfare index, called quality of life (QuoL), emphasizes education, knowledge, and the environment. We calibrate a multigenerational model with education, physical capital, knowledge and the environment. We reject discounted utilitarianism and adopt, first, the Intergenerational Maximin criterion, and, second, Human Development Optimization, that maximizes the QuoL of the first generation subject to a given future rate of growth. The computed paths have a QuoL higher than the year 2000 level for all generations. They require doubling the labor resources devoted to the creation of knowledge, whereas the fractions of labor allocated to consumption and leisure are similar to the reference ones. Higher growth rates require substantial increases in the fraction of labor devoted to education, together with moderate increases in the fractions of labor devoted to knowledge and the investment in physical capital.

Suggested Citation

  • Joaquim Silvestre & Joaquim Silvestre & Humberto Llavador & John E. Roemer, 2009. "A Dynamic Analysis Of Human Welfare In A Warming Planet?," Working Papers 101, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:cda:wpaper:101
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quality of life; climate change; education; maximin; growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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