IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cbi/fsnote/4-fs-19.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Real-estate concentration in the Irish banking system

Author

Listed:
  • Lyons, Paul

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Nevin, Ciarán

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Shaw, Frances

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

Abstract

Globally, there is evidence that vulnerabilities in real-estate markets have been the trigger for many financial crises. In this Note, we assess the concentration in real-estate exposures of the Irish banking system in a historic and European context. Despite a substantial reduction in overall lending balances since the Irish financial crisis, we find that the overall level of concentration in real-estate lending has remained relatively stable.We also find that the Irish banking system is more concentrated in real-estate lending than its European peers. We show that the composition of concentration has changed, with the share of residential mortgages increasing and the share of commercial real estate decreasing. This high degree of concentration of the Irish banking system in real-estate exposures underlines the importance of prudent underwriting by the banking system. The Central Bank’s mortgage market measures help in this regard, by protecting banks and borrowers against a marked loosening of such underwriting. In doing this, the measures serve to strengthen the resilience of a concentrated system.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyons, Paul & Nevin, Ciarán & Shaw, Frances, 2019. "Real-estate concentration in the Irish banking system," Financial Stability Notes 4/FS/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbi:fsnote:4/fs/19
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/financial-stability-notes/no-4-real-estate-concentration-in-the-irish-banking-system-(lyons-nevin-and-shaw).pdf?sfvrsn=4
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wagner, Wolf, 2010. "Diversification at financial institutions and systemic crises," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 373-386, July.
    2. Klaus Düllmann & Nancy Masschelein, 2006. "The impact of sector concentration in loan portfolios on economic capital," Financial Stability Review, National Bank of Belgium, vol. 4(1), pages 175-187, June.
    3. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
    4. Crowe, Christopher & Dell’Ariccia, Giovanni & Igan, Deniz & Rabanal, Pau, 2013. "How to deal with real estate booms: Lessons from country experiences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 300-319.
    5. Wagner, W.B., 2006. "Diversification at Financial Institutions and Systemic Crises," Other publications TiSEM b82d6514-e1cb-4d36-a934-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Kinghan, Christina, 2018. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: Insights from H1 2018," Financial Stability Notes 8/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    7. Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "A new database for financial crises in European countries," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 13, European Systemic Risk Board.
    8. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
    10. Klaus Düllmann & Nancy Masschelein, 2006. "Sector Concentration in Loan Portfolios and Economic Capital," Working Paper Research 105, National Bank of Belgium.
    11. Douglas W. Diamond, 1984. "Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 51(3), pages 393-414.
    12. Brian T. Melzer, 2017. "Mortgage Debt Overhang: Reduced Investment by Homeowners at Risk of Default," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(2), pages 575-612, April.
    13. Viral V. Acharya & Tanju Yorulmazer, 2008. "Information Contagion and Bank Herding," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 215-231, February.
    14. Yvonne McCarthy & Kieran McQuinn, 2017. "Price Expectations, Distressed Mortgage Markets and the Housing Wealth Effect," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 45(2), pages 478-513, April.
    15. Rachel Campbell & Kees Koedijk & Paul Kofman, 2002. "Increased Correlation in Bear Markets," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(1), pages 87-94, January.
    16. Joseph Gyourko, 2009. "Understanding Commercial Real Estate: Just How Different from Housing Is It?," NBER Working Papers 14708, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Kofman, Paul & Koedijk, Kees & Campbell, Rachel, 2002. "Increased Correlation in Bear markets: A Downside Risk Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 3172, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Koetter, Michael & Poghosyan, Tigran, 2010. "Real estate prices and bank stability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1129-1138, June.
    19. O'Brien, Eoin & O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2018. "Measuring and mitigating cyclical systemic risk in Ireland: The application of the countercyclical capital buffer," Financial Stability Notes 04-18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    20. Kinghan, Christina & Lyons, Paul & Mazza, Elena, 2018. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: An Overview of 2017," Financial Stability Notes 1/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    21. Masschelein, Nancy & Düllmann, Klaus, 2006. "Sector concentration in loan portfolios and economic capital," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2006,09, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    22. Kinghan, Christina, 2018. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: Insights from H1 2018," Financial Stability Notes 08-18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    23. Kinghan, Christina & Lyons, Paul & Mazza, Elena, 2018. "Macroprudential Measures and Irish Mortgage Lending: An Overview of 2017," Financial Stability Notes 01-18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    24. O'Brien, Eoin & O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2018. "Measuring and mitigating cyclical systemic risk in Ireland: The application of the countercyclical capital buffer," Financial Stability Notes 4/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Moloney, Kitty & O'Gorman, Paraic & O’Sullivan, Max & Reddan, Paul, 2023. "Non-bank lenders to SMEs as a source of financial stability risk – a balance sheet assessment," Financial Stability Notes 11/FS/23, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gaffney, Edward, 2018. "Residential property price segments and mortgage finance," Financial Stability Notes 11/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. McQuinn, Kieran & O’Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2021. "Credit access, macroprudential rules and policy interventions: Lessons for potential first time buyers," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 944-963.
    3. Gaffney, Edward, 2018. "Residential property price segments and mortgage finance," Financial Stability Notes 11-18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    4. Allen-Coghlan, Matthew & Judge, Conor & O'Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2019. "A county level perspective on housing affordability in Ireland," Research Notes RN20190402, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    5. McQuinn, Kieran & O’Toole, Conor & Allen-Coghlan, Matthew & Coffey, Cathal, 2019. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2019," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC, march.
    6. Gaffney, Edward, 2019. "Mortgage borrowers at the loan-to-income limit," Financial Stability Notes 11/FS/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    7. Cai, Jian & Eidam, Frederik & Saunders, Anthony & Steffen, Sascha, 2018. "Syndication, interconnectedness, and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 105-120.
    8. McQuinn, Kieran & O’Toole, Conor & Allen-Coghlan, Matthew & Coffey, Cathal, 2019. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2019," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC.
    9. Kelly, Jane & Mazza, Elena, 2019. "Mortgage servicing burdens and LTI caps," Financial Stability Notes 13/FS/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    10. Fricke, Daniel & Roukny, Tarik, 2020. "Generalists and specialists in the credit market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. Pierpaolo Grippa & Lucyna Gornicka, 2016. "Measuring Concentration Risk - A Partial Portfolio Approach," IMF Working Papers 2016/158, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Morelli, David & Vioto, Davide, 2020. "Assessing the contribution of China’s financial sectors to systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    13. Antonio Miguel Martins & Ana Paula Serra & Francisco Vitorino Martins & Simon Stevenson, 2019. "Residential Property Loans and Bank Performance during Property Price Booms: Evidence from Europe," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(1), pages 247-295, May.
    14. Andrew Ellul & Chotibhak Jotikasthira & Anastasia Kartasheva & Christian T Lundblad & Wolf Wagner, 2022. "Insurers as Asset Managers and Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(12), pages 5483-5534.
    15. Bostandzic, Denefa & Weiß, Gregor N.F., 2018. "Why do some banks contribute more to global systemic risk?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 35(PA), pages 17-40.
    16. Mager, Ferdinand & Schmieder, Christian, 2008. "Stress testing of real credit portfolios," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2008,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Abedifar, Pejman & Giudici, Paolo & Hashem, Shatha Qamhieh, 2017. "Heterogeneous market structure and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 96-119.
    18. Silva-Buston, Consuelo, 2019. "Systemic risk and competition revisited," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 188-205.
    19. Klaus Düllmann & Nancy Masschelein, 2007. "A Tractable Model to Measure Sector Concentration Risk in Credit Portfolios," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 55-79, October.
    20. Thorsten Beck & Olivier De Jonghe & Klaas Mulier, 2022. "Bank Sectoral Concentration and Risk: Evidence from a Worldwide Sample of Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(6), pages 1705-1739, September.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbi:fsnote:4/fs/19. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Fiona Farrelly (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbigvie.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.