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The macroeconomic effects of the regulatory LTV and LTI ratios in the Central Bank of Ireland's DSGE model

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  • Lozej, Matija

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Rannenberg, Ansgar

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

Abstract

We use the Central Bank of Ireland’s DSGE model to investigate the introduction of regulatory loan-to-value and loan-to-income ratios in the mortgage market in 2015, which form part of the Central Bank’s macroprudential measures. The main finding is that while the measures dampen economic activity in the short run, they bring benefits in the medium and long run. Household leverage declines, which lowers the default rate on bank loans. The economy as a whole deleverages and foreign debt decreases significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Lozej, Matija & Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2017. "The macroeconomic effects of the regulatory LTV and LTI ratios in the Central Bank of Ireland's DSGE model," Economic Letters 04/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbi:ecolet:04/el/17
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    File URL: https://centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/economic-letters/economic-letter-vol-2017-no-4.pdf?sfvrsn=6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Eyno Rots & Barnabas Szekely, 2021. "A Model-Based Comparison of Macroprudential Tools," MNB Working Papers 2021/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    2. Jakab, Zoltan & Kumhof, Michael, 2018. "Banks are not intermediaries of loanable funds — facts, theory and evidence," Bank of England working papers 761, Bank of England, revised 17 Jan 2020.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Ireland: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/172, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Kumhof, Michael & Wang, Xuan, 2021. "Banks, money, and the zero lower bound on deposit rates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Xuan Wang, 2020. "A Macro-Financial Perspective to Analyse Maturity Mismatch and Default," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-064/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Wang, Xuan, 2023. "A macro-financial perspective to analyse maturity mismatch and default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Gerth, Florian & Temnov, Grigory, 2021. "New Ways of Modeling Loan-to-Income Distributions and their Evolution in Time - A Probability Copula Approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 217-236.
    8. Lo Duca, Marco & Hallissey, Niamh & Jurca, Pavol & Kouratzoglou, Charalampos & Lima, Diana & Pirovano, Mara & Prapiestis, Algirdas & Saldías, Martín & Tereanu, Eugen & Bartal, Mehdi & Giedraitė, Edita, 2023. "The more the merrier? Macroprudential instrument interactions and effective policy implementation," Occasional Paper Series 310, European Central Bank.
    9. Hiona Balfoussia & Harris Dellas & Dimitris Papageorgiou, 2018. "Loan-to-value ratio limits: an exploration for Greece," Working Papers 248, Bank of Greece.

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