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Growth, coal and carbon emissions: economic overheating and climate change

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  • Emanuel Kohlscheen
  • Richhild Moessner
  • Előd Takáts

Abstract

We use a comprehensive database of 121 countries over the 1971-2016 period to study how macroeconomic factors drive carbon (carbon-dioxide) emissions. For this purpose, dynamic panel regressions are estimated. Carbon emissions rise with economic development, manufacturing activity, urbanization and increasingly with economic growth. In electricity generation, the use of coal, and to a lesser degree of oil, is associated with higher carbon emissions, while renewable energy use is already associated with lower national emissions in advanced economies. We also uncover a non-linearity: economic overheating is particularly harmful when coal use is more intensive. The results suggest that mitigating economic cycles might also reduce carbon emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Emanuel Kohlscheen & Richhild Moessner & Előd Takáts, 2021. "Growth, coal and carbon emissions: economic overheating and climate change," BIS Working Papers 937, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:937
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Emanuel Kohlscheen & Richhild Moessner & Elod Takáts, 2021. "Effects of Carbon Pricing and Other Climate Policies on CO2 Emissions," CESifo Working Paper Series 9347, CESifo.
    2. Tomás Baioni, 2021. "A Dynamic Fixed Effects and Nonlinear Causality Approach to analyze CO2 Emissions," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4432, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    carbon dioxide; climate change; coal; emissions; energy; environment; growth; pollution; urbanisation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • Q00 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - General
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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