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How Relevant are Capital Flows for House Prices in Emerging Economies?

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  • Hernández Vega Marco A.

Abstract

This work studies the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and portfolio flows on house prices of emerging market economies using a static factors panel VARX model. The results show that an increase in both FDI and portfolio flows leads to higher house prices, but that portfolio flows have a more persistent effect. This work also finds that mortgage credit, as proxy of housing demand, is an important variable in house price dynamics in the sense that it has a higher positive impact on house prices than any of the other endogenous variables included. The results are robust to different specifications of the model, such as adding additional lags or changing the order in which the endogenous variables enter the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernández Vega Marco A., 2019. "How Relevant are Capital Flows for House Prices in Emerging Economies?," Working Papers 2019-19, Banco de México.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2019-19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Emerging Markets; Capital Flows; House Prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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