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Analysis of the Performance of Mexican Pension Funds: Evidence from a Stationary Bootstrap Application

Author

Listed:
  • Rodríguez Arnulfo
  • Zúñiga Gerardo
  • Rodríguez Pedro N.

Abstract

This paper assesses the performance of Mexican pension funds (AFORES) by using an asset pricing model that includes macroeconomic factors and benchmark portfolios to explain returns. We apply a bootstrap statistical technique to obtain the cross-sectional distribution of performance measures (alphas) across all pension funds. This is done to determine whether a pension fund manager adds value to the portfolio before commissions charges, or if the performance observed, after controlling for the relevant factors, is simply explained by luck. Moreover, by comparing pension fund alphas to the distributions of alphas corresponding to lower rankings, we can find out if a particular fund statistically distinguishes itself from others. Our results provide evidence that pension funds managers do not add value to the portfolio and that funds are not distinguishable from each other.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodríguez Arnulfo & Zúñiga Gerardo & Rodríguez Pedro N., 2008. "Analysis of the Performance of Mexican Pension Funds: Evidence from a Stationary Bootstrap Application," Working Papers 2008-02, Banco de México.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2008-02
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Robert Kosowski & Allan Timmermann & Russ Wermers & Hal White, 2006. "Can Mutual Fund “Stars” Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(6), pages 2551-2595, December.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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