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Medidas de contención, evolución del empleo y propagación del Covid-19 en los municipios españoles

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Gutiérrez

    (Banco de España)

  • Enrique Moral-Benito

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Con el objetivo de contener el avance del Covid-19, el Real Decreto-ley 10/2020, del 29 de marzo, estableció el cese de toda actividad considerada como no esencial entre el 30 de marzo y el 9 de abril de 2020, ambos inclusive. Este documento explota información a escala municipal para cuantificar el impacto de corto plazo que ha tenido esta medida, tanto sobre el empleo como sobre la contención de la pandemia. En concreto, el peso de las actividades no esenciales en cada municipio se relaciona con la evolución de la afiliación a la Seguridad Social y con los nuevos casos de Covid-19 diagnosticados a lo largo del mes de abril. Los resultados sugieren que aquellos municipios más afectados por el cese de las actividades no esenciales habrían sufrido mayores pérdidas de empleo, pero, a la vez, habrían experimentado una propagación menos virulenta de la pandemia durante el mes de abril. Finalmente, otras características, como una población más envejecida, unas temperaturas más frías, una densidad de población más elevada o una mayor cercanía a la capital de la provincia, también se asocian a una mayor incidencia del Covid-19 a escala municipal.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Gutiérrez & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2020. "Medidas de contención, evolución del empleo y propagación del Covid-19 en los municipios españoles," Occasional Papers 2022, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:2022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; pandemia; empleo; municipios españoles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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