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The seasonality of air ticket prices before and after the pandemic

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  • Alessandro V. M. Oliveira

Abstract

This study investigates price seasonality in the Brazilian air transport industry, emphasizing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on domestic airline pricing strategies. Given potential shifts in demand patterns following the global health crisis, this study explores possible long-term structural changes in the seasonality of Brazilian airfare. We analyze an open dataset of domestic city pairs from 2013 to 2023, employing an econometric model developed using Stata software. Our findings indicate alterations in seasonal patterns and long-term trends in the post-pandemic era. These changes underscore potential shifts in the composition of leisure and business travelers, along with the cost pressures faced by airlines.

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  • Alessandro V. M. Oliveira, 2024. "The seasonality of air ticket prices before and after the pandemic," Papers 2402.13789, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2402.13789
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Garrigos-Simon, Fernando J. & Narangajavana, Yeamduan & Gil-Pechuan, Ignacio, 2010. "Seasonality and price behaviour of airlines in the Alicante-London market," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 350-354.
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    7. Zou, Li & Reynolds-Feighan, Aisling & Yu, Chunyan, 2022. "Airline seasonality: An explorative analysis of major low-cost carriers in Europe and the United States," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
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