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Unveiling spatial patterns of population in Italian municipalities

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  • Davide Fiaschi
  • Angela Parenti
  • Cristiano Ricci

Abstract

We study the evolution of population density across Italian municipalities on the based of their trajectories in the Moran space. We find evidence of spatial dynamical patterns of concentrated urban growth, urban sprawl, agglomeration, and depopulation. Over the long run, three distinct settlement systems emerge: urban, suburban, and rural. We discuss how estimating these demographic trends at the municipal level can help the design and validation of policies contrasting the socio-economic decline in specific Italian areas, as in the case of the Italian National Strategy for Inner Areas (Strategia Nazionale per le Aree Interne, SNAI).

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Fiaschi & Angela Parenti & Cristiano Ricci, 2023. "Unveiling spatial patterns of population in Italian municipalities," Papers 2311.10520, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.10520
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Danny Quah, 1996. "Twin Peaks: Growth and Convergence in Models of Distribution Dynamics," CEP Discussion Papers dp0280, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    4. Elisabetta Manzoli & Sauro Mocetti, 2019. "The House Price Gradient: Evidence from Italian Cities," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 5(2), pages 281-305, July.
    5. Andrea Lamorgese & Andrea Petrella, 2019. "Stylized Facts on Italian Cities," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 5(2), pages 223-249, July.
    6. Quah, Danny, 1997. "Empirics for Growth and Distribution: Stratification, Polarization, and Convergence Clubs," CEPR Discussion Papers 1586, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Quah, Danny, 1996. "Twin peaks : growth and convergence in models of distribution dynamics," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2278, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Quah, Danny T, 1997. "Empirics for Growth and Distribution: Stratification, Polarization, and Convergence Clubs," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 27-59, March.
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