IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2308.05200.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

SmartDCA superiority

Author

Listed:
  • Calvet
  • Emmanuel
  • Herranz-Celotti
  • Luca
  • Valimamode
  • Karim

Abstract

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) is a widely used technique to mitigate volatility in long-term investments of appreciating assets. However, the inefficiency of DCA arises from fixing the investment amount regardless of market conditions. In this paper, we present a more efficient approach that we name SmartDCA, which consists in adjusting asset purchases based on price levels. The simplicity of SmartDCA allows for rigorous mathematical analysis, enabling us to establish its superiority through the application of Cauchy-Schwartz inequality and Lehmer means. We further extend our analysis to what we refer to as $\rho$-SmartDCA, where the invested amount is raised to the power of $\rho$. We demonstrate that higher values of $\rho$ lead to enhanced performance. However, this approach may result in unbounded investments. To address this concern, we introduce a bounded version of SmartDCA, taking advantage of two novel mean definitions that we name quasi-Lehmer means. The bounded SmartDCA is specifically designed to retain its superiority to DCA. To support our claims, we provide rigorous mathematical proofs and conduct numerical analyses across various scenarios. The performance gain of different SmartDCA alternatives is compared against DCA using data from S\&P500 and Bitcoin. The results consistently demonstrate that all SmartDCA variations yield higher long-term investment returns compared to DCA.

Suggested Citation

  • Calvet & Emmanuel & Herranz-Celotti & Luca & Valimamode & Karim, 2023. "SmartDCA superiority," Papers 2308.05200, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.05200
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.05200
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kapalczynski, Anna & Lien, Donald, 2021. "Effectiveness of Augmented Dollar-Cost Averaging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    2. Kirkby, J. Lars & Mitra, Sovan & Nguyen, Duy, 2020. "An analysis of dollar cost averaging and market timing investment strategies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(3), pages 1168-1186.
    3. Janusz Matkowski & Małgorzata Wróbel, 2020. "On the Beckenbach–Gini–Lehmer Means and Means Mappings," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Mowaffaq Hajja & Peter S. Bullen & Janusz Matkowski & Edward Neuman & Slavko Simic, 2013. "Means and Their Inequalities," International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, Hindawi, vol. 2013, pages 1-1, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xuejun Jin & Hongze Li & Bin Yu, 2023. "The day‐of‐the‐month effect and the performance of the dollar cost averaging strategy: Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(S1), pages 797-815, April.
    2. Kirkby, J. Lars & Leitao, Álvaro & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "Nonparametric density estimation and bandwidth selection with B-spline bases: A novel Galerkin method," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    3. Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "Equity-linked Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits with dollar cost averaging," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 408-428.
    4. Cui, Zhenyu & Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "A data-driven framework for consistent financial valuation and risk measurement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 381-398.
    5. Li, Zhiyong & Li, Aimin & Bellotti, Anthony & Yao, Xiao, 2023. "The profitability of online loans: A competing risks analysis on default and prepayment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(2), pages 968-985.
    6. Kapalczynski, Anna & Lien, Donald, 2021. "Effectiveness of Augmented Dollar-Cost Averaging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Svetlana Boyarchenko & Sergei Levendorskiä¬ & J. Lars Kyrkby & Zhenyu Cui, 2021. "Sinh-Acceleration For B-Spline Projection With Option Pricing Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 24(08), pages 1-50, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.05200. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.