IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2307.13232.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Changes in Risk Appreciation, and Short Memory of House Buyers When the Market is Hot, a Case Study of Christchurch, New Zealand

Author

Listed:
  • Emil Mendoza
  • Fabian Dunker
  • Marco Reale

Abstract

In this paper house prices in Christchurch are analyzed over three distinct periods of time: post-2011 earthquake, pre-COVID-19 lockdown, and post-COVID-19 lockdown using the well-established hedonic price model. Results show that buyers, in periods that are temporally distant from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake, value the risk of potential earthquake damage to a property differently from buyers soon after the earthquake. We find that there are observable shifts in hedonic prices across the different time periods, specifically for section size pre and post COVID-19 lockdown.

Suggested Citation

  • Emil Mendoza & Fabian Dunker & Marco Reale, 2023. "Changes in Risk Appreciation, and Short Memory of House Buyers When the Market is Hot, a Case Study of Christchurch, New Zealand," Papers 2307.13232, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2307.13232
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.13232
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marco Helbich & Wolfgang Brunauer & Eric Vaz & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Spatial Heterogeneity in Hedonic House Price Models: The Case of Austria," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(2), pages 390-411, February.
    2. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt & Nancy Holman, 2018. "Distinctively Different: A New Approach to Valuing Architectural Amenities," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(608), pages 1-33, February.
    3. Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Gail Pacheco & Kade Sorensen, 2021. "The effect of upzoning on house prices and redevelopment premiums in Auckland, New Zealand," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(5), pages 959-976, April.
    4. Scott N Lieske & Ryan van den Nouwelant & Jung Hoon Han & Christopher Pettit, 2021. "A novel hedonic price modelling approach for estimating the impact of transportation infrastructure on property prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(1), pages 182-202, January.
    5. Michael Rehm & Olga Filippova, 2008. "The impact of geographically defined school zones on house prices in New Zealand," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(4), pages 313-336, November.
    6. Limsombunchai, Visit, 2004. "House Price Prediction: Hedonic Price Model vs. Artificial Neural Network," 2004 Conference, June 25-26, 2004, Blenheim, New Zealand 97781, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    7. Kelly C. Bishop & Nicolai V. Kuminoff & H. Spencer Banzhaf & Kevin J. Boyle & Kathrine von Gravenitz & Jaren C. Pope & V. Kerry Smith & Christopher D. Timmins, 2020. "Best Practices for Using Hedonic Property Value Models to Measure Willingness to Pay for Environmental Quality," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(2), pages 260-281.
    8. Dubin, Robin A., 1992. "Spatial autocorrelation and neighborhood quality," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 433-452, September.
    9. Olga Filippova & Michael Rehm, 2011. "The impact of proximity to cell phone towers on residential property values," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 244-267, August.
    10. repec:eme:ijhma0:17538271111153022 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Kelvin J. Lancaster, 1966. "A New Approach to Consumer Theory," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(2), pages 132-132.
    12. Masako Ikefuji & Roger J. A. Laeven & Jan R. Magnus & Yuan Yue, 2022. "Earthquake Risk Embedded in Property Prices: Evidence From Five Japanese Cities," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 117(537), pages 82-93, January.
    13. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt & Nancy Holman, 2018. "Distinctively Different: A New Approach to Valuing Architectural Amenities," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(608), pages 1-33.
    14. M. Fletcher & P. Gallimore & J. Mangan, 2000. "Heteroscedasticity in hedonic house price models," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 93-108, January.
    15. Olga Filippova & Michael Rehm, 2011. "The impact of proximity to cell phone towers on residential property values," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 244-267, August.
    16. Michael Rehm & Olga Filippova, 2008. "The impact of geographically defined school zones on house prices in New Zealand," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(4), pages 313-336, November.
    17. repec:eme:ijhma0:17538270810908623 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Çağlayan Ebru & Arikan Eban, 2011. "Determinants of house prices in Istanbul: a quantile regression approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 305-317, February.
    2. Murakami, Jin & Villani, Caterina & Talamini, Gianni, 2021. "The capital value of pedestrianization in Asia's commercial cityscape: Evidence from office towers and retail streets," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 72-86.
    3. Franco, Sofia F. & Macdonald, Jacob L., 2018. "The effects of cultural heritage on residential property values: Evidence from Lisbon, Portugal," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 35-56.
    4. Mahdieh Yazdani, 2021. "House Price Determinants and Market Segmentation in Boulder, Colorado: A Hedonic Price Approach," Papers 2108.02442, arXiv.org.
    5. Mahdieh Yazdani, 2021. "Machine Learning, Deep Learning, and Hedonic Methods for Real Estate Price Prediction," Papers 2110.07151, arXiv.org.
    6. Vlastimil Reichel & Petr Zimčík, 2018. "Determinants of Real Estate Prices in the Statutory City of Brno," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 66(4), pages 991-999.
    7. Bello Musa Zango & Sanni Mohammed Lekan & Mohammed Jibrin Katun, 2020. "Conventional Methods in Housing Market Analysis: A Review of Literature," Baltic Journal of Real Estate Economics and Construction Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 227-241, January.
    8. Marco Helbich & Wolfgang Brunauer & Eric Vaz & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Spatial Heterogeneity in Hedonic House Price Models: The Case of Austria," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(2), pages 390-411, February.
    9. Koster, Hans R.A. & van Ommeren, Jos & Volkhausen, Nicolas, 2021. "Short-term rentals and the housing market: Quasi-experimental evidence from Airbnb in Los Angeles," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    10. José-María Montero & Román Mínguez & Gema Fernández-Avilés, 2018. "Housing price prediction: parametric versus semi-parametric spatial hedonic models," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 27-55, January.
    11. van Vuuren, Aico, 2022. "Is There a Diminishing Value of Urban Amenities as a Result of the COVID-19 Pandemic?," IZA Discussion Papers 15025, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Raul-Tomas Mora-Garcia & Maria-Francisca Cespedes-Lopez & V. Raul Perez-Sanchez & Pablo Marti & Juan-Carlos Perez-Sanchez, 2019. "Determinants of the Price of Housing in the Province of Alicante (Spain): Analysis Using Quantile Regression," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-33, January.
    13. Jan-Peter Kucklick & Jennifer Priefer & Daniel Beverungen & Oliver Müller, 2023. "Elucidating the Predictive Power of Search and Experience Qualities for Pricing of Complex Goods – A Machine Learning-based Study on Real Estate Appraisal," Working Papers Dissertations 112, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
    14. Gan Jin & Günther G. Schulze, 2024. "Historical Legacies and Urbanization: Evidence from Chinese Concessions," CESifo Working Paper Series 10976, CESifo.
    15. Hans Wolfgang Brachinger & Michael Beer & Olivier Schöni, 2018. "A formal framework for hedonic elementary price indices," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 102(1), pages 67-93, January.
    16. van Vuuren, Aico & Kjellander, Josef & Nilsson, Viktor, 2019. "Refugees and apartment prices: A case study to investigate the attitudes of home buyers," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 20-37.
    17. Woosung Kim & Jengei Hong, 2024. "Stacked Ensemble Model for the Automatic Valuation of Residential Properties in South Korea: A Case Study on Jeju Island," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-24, September.
    18. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2017. "Spatial Agglomeration And Economic Development With The Inclusion Of Interregional Tourism," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(213), pages 93-128, April - J.
    19. Manuel Landajo & Celia Bilbao & Amelia Bilbao, 2012. "Nonparametric neural network modeling of hedonic prices in the housing market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 987-1009, June.
    20. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Nitsch, Volker & Wendland, Nicolai, 2019. "Ease vs. noise: Long-run changes in the value of transport (dis)amenities," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2307.13232. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.