IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2306.16681.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Data-driven Multiperiod Robust Mean-Variance Optimization

Author

Listed:
  • Xin Hai
  • Gregoire Loeper
  • Kihun Nam

Abstract

We study robust mean-variance optimization in multiperiod portfolio selection by allowing the true probability measure to be inside a Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical probability measure. Given the confidence level, the radius of the Wasserstein ball is determined by the empirical data. The numerical simulations of the US stock market provide a promising result compared to other popular strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Xin Hai & Gregoire Loeper & Kihun Nam, 2023. "Data-driven Multiperiod Robust Mean-Variance Optimization," Papers 2306.16681, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2306.16681
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.16681
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R.H. Tütüncü & M. Koenig, 2004. "Robust Asset Allocation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 132(1), pages 157-187, November.
    2. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "Robust Control and Model Uncertainty," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 5, pages 145-154, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Xing, Xin & Hu, Jinjin & Yang, Yaning, 2014. "Robust minimum variance portfolio with L-infinity constraints," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 107-117.
    4. Xidonas, Panos & Hassapis, Christis & Soulis, John & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2017. "Robust minimum variance portfolio optimization modelling under scenario uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 60-71.
    5. Erick Delage & Yinyu Ye, 2010. "Distributionally Robust Optimization Under Moment Uncertainty with Application to Data-Driven Problems," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(3), pages 595-612, June.
    6. Georg Pflug & David Wozabal, 2007. "Ambiguity in portfolio selection," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 435-442.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jose Blanchet & Karthyek Murthy, 2019. "Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(2), pages 565-600, May.
    2. Jonathan Li & Roy Kwon, 2013. "Portfolio selection under model uncertainty: a penalized moment-based optimization approach," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 131-164, May.
    3. Jang Ho Kim & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2014. "Recent Developments in Robust Portfolios with a Worst-Case Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 103-121, April.
    4. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Mouna Boujelbène & J. L. Prigent & Emna Triki, 2020. "Optimal Portfolio Positioning on Multiple Assets Under Ambiguity," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 21-57, June.
    5. Hu, Jian & Bansal, Manish & Mehrotra, Sanjay, 2018. "Robust decision making using a general utility set," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(2), pages 699-714.
    6. Zhu, Bo & Zhang, Tianlun, 2021. "Long-term wealth growth portfolio allocation under parameter uncertainty: A non-conservative robust approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    7. Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi, 2021. "Robust Portfolio Selection Problems: A Comprehensive Review," Papers 2103.13806, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    8. Xin Hai & Kihun Nam, 2023. "Robust Wasserstein Optimization and its Application in Mean-CVaR," Papers 2306.15524, arXiv.org.
    9. Zhi Chen & Melvyn Sim & Huan Xu, 2019. "Distributionally Robust Optimization with Infinitely Constrained Ambiguity Sets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 1328-1344, September.
    10. Maillet, Bertrand & Tokpavi, Sessi & Vaucher, Benoit, 2015. "Global minimum variance portfolio optimisation under some model risk: A robust regression-based approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 289-299.
    11. Viet Anh Nguyen & Fan Zhang & Shanshan Wang & Jose Blanchet & Erick Delage & Yinyu Ye, 2021. "Robustifying Conditional Portfolio Decisions via Optimal Transport," Papers 2103.16451, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    12. Hakan Kaya, 2017. "Managing ambiguity in asset allocation," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(3), pages 163-187, May.
    13. Manish Bansal & Yingqiu Zhang, 2021. "Scenario-based cuts for structured two-stage stochastic and distributionally robust p-order conic mixed integer programs," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 81(2), pages 391-433, October.
    14. Aharon Ben-Tal & Dimitris Bertsimas & David B. Brown, 2010. "A Soft Robust Model for Optimization Under Ambiguity," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(4-part-2), pages 1220-1234, August.
    15. Jiang, Jie & Peng, Shen, 2024. "Mathematical programs with distributionally robust chance constraints: Statistical robustness, discretization and reformulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 313(2), pages 616-627.
    16. Ran Ji & Miguel A. Lejeune, 2021. "Data-Driven Optimization of Reward-Risk Ratio Measures," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 1120-1137, July.
    17. Steffen Rebennack, 2022. "Data-driven stochastic optimization for distributional ambiguity with integrated confidence region," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 84(2), pages 255-293, October.
    18. Bansal, Manish & Mehrotra, Sanjay, 2019. "On solving two-stage distributionally robust disjunctive programs with a general ambiguity set," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(2), pages 296-307.
    19. Lotfi, Somayyeh & Zeniosn, Stravros A., 2016. "Equivalence of Robust VaR and CVaR Optimization," Working Papers 16-03, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    20. Ren, Ke & Bidkhori, Hoda, 2023. "A study of data-driven distributionally robust optimization with incomplete joint data under finite support," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(2), pages 754-765.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2306.16681. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.