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Randomization of Short-Rate Models, Analytic Pricing and Flexibility in Controlling Implied Volatilities

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  • Lech A. Grzelak

Abstract

We focus on extending existing short-rate models, enabling control of the generated implied volatility while preserving analyticity. We achieve this goal by applying the Randomized Affine Diffusion (RAnD) method to the class of short-rate processes under the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework. Under arbitrage-free conditions, the model parameters can be exogenously stochastic, thus facilitating additional degrees of freedom that enhance the calibration procedure. We show that with the randomized short-rate models, the shapes of implied volatility can be controlled and significantly improve the quality of the model calibration, even for standard 1D variants. In particular, we illustrate that randomization applied to the Hull-White model leads to dynamics of the local volatility type, with the prices for standard volatility-sensitive derivatives explicitly available. The randomized Hull-White (rHW) model offers an almost perfect calibration fit to the swaption implied volatilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Lech A. Grzelak, 2022. "Randomization of Short-Rate Models, Analytic Pricing and Flexibility in Controlling Implied Volatilities," Papers 2211.05014, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2211.05014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lech A. Grzelak, 2022. "On Randomization of Affine Diffusion Processes with Application to Pricing of Options on VIX and S&P 500," Papers 2208.12518, arXiv.org.
    2. Casassus, Jaime & Collin-Dufresne, Pierre & Goldstein, Bob, 2005. "Unspanned stochastic volatility and fixed income derivatives pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2723-2749, November.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:205-09 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Damiano Brigo & Fabio Mercurio, 2002. "Lognormal-Mixture Dynamics And Calibration To Market Volatility Smiles," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(04), pages 427-446.
    5. L. A. Grzelak & J. A. S. Witteveen & M. Suárez-Taboada & C. W. Oosterlee, 2019. "The stochastic collocation Monte Carlo sampler: highly efficient sampling from ‘expensive’ distributions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 339-356, February.
    6. Hull, John & White, Alan, 1990. "Pricing Interest-Rate-Derivative Securities," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(4), pages 573-592.
    7. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
    8. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Damiano Brigo, 2008. "The general mixture-diffusion SDE and its relationship with an uncertain-volatility option model with volatility-asset decorrelation," Papers 0812.4052, arXiv.org.
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    Cited by:

    1. T. van der Zwaard & L. A. Grzelak & C. W. Oosterlee, 2024. "On the Hull-White model with volatility smile for Valuation Adjustments," Papers 2403.14841, arXiv.org.
    2. Wolf, Felix L. & Deelstra, Griselda & Grzelak, Lech A., 2024. "Consistent asset modelling with random coefficients and switches between regimes," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 65-85.
    3. Felix L. Wolf & Griselda Deelstra & Lech A. Grzelak, 2024. "Consistent asset modelling with random coefficients and switches between regimes," Papers 2401.09955, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.

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