IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2202.05326.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Robust Policy Selection and Harvest Risk Quantification for Natural Resources Management under Model Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Georgios I. Papayiannis

Abstract

In this work the problem of optimal harvesting policy selection for natural resources management under model uncertainty is investigated. Under the framework of the neoclassical growth model dynamics, the associated optimal control problem is investigated by introducing the concept of model uncertainty on the initial conditions of the operational procedure. At this stage, the notion of convex risk measures, and in particular the class of Fr\'echet risk measures, is employed in order to quantify the total operational and marginal risk, whereas simultaneously obtaining robust to model uncertainty harvesting strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgios I. Papayiannis, 2022. "Robust Policy Selection and Harvest Risk Quantification for Natural Resources Management under Model Uncertainty," Papers 2202.05326, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.05326
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2202.05326
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frittelli, Marco & Rosazza Gianin, Emanuela, 2002. "Putting order in risk measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1473-1486, July.
    2. Boucekkine, R. & Camacho, C. & Fabbri, G., 2013. "Spatial dynamics and convergence: The spatial AK model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(6), pages 2719-2736.
    3. Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Aldo Rustichini, 2006. "Ambiguity Aversion, Robustness, and the Variational Representation of Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1447-1498, November.
    4. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "Robust Control and Model Uncertainty," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 5, pages 145-154, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Brock, William A. & Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2014. "Optimal agglomerations in dynamic economics," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
    6. W. Brock & A. Xepapadeas & A. Yannacopoulos, 2014. "Robust Control and Hot Spots in Spatiotemporal Economic Systems," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 257-289, September.
    7. Fabbri, Giorgio & Faggian, Silvia & Freni, Giuseppe, 2024. "On competition for spatially distributed resources in networks," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 19(2), May.
    8. W.A. Brock & A. Xepapadeas & A.N. Yannacopoulos, 2014. "Optimal Control in Space and Time and the Management of Environmental Resources," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 33-68, October.
    9. Xepapadeas, A. & Yannacopoulos, A.N., 2016. "Spatial growth with exogenous saving rates," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 125-137.
    10. Baltas, I. & Dopierala, L. & Kolodziejczyk, K. & Szczepański, M. & Weber, G.-W. & Yannacopoulos, A.N., 2022. "Optimal management of defined contribution pension funds under the effect of inflation, mortality and uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(3), pages 1162-1174.
    11. Solow, Robert M., 1999. "Neoclassical growth theory," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 9, pages 637-667, Elsevier.
    12. Hans Föllmer & Alexander Schied, 2002. "Convex measures of risk and trading constraints," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 429-447.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Phoebe Koundouri & Georgios I. Papayiannis & Athanasios Yannacopoulos, 2022. "Optimal Control Approaches to Sustainability under Uncertainty," DEOS Working Papers 2215, Athens University of Economics and Business.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Phoebe Koundouri & Georgios I. Papayiannis & Athanasios Yannacopoulos, 2022. "Optimal Control Approaches to Sustainability under Uncertainty," DEOS Working Papers 2215, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    2. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2014. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Papers 1401.4787, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    3. Roger J. A. Laeven & Mitja Stadje, 2014. "Robust Portfolio Choice and Indifference Valuation," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(4), pages 1109-1141, November.
    4. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2016. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1056-1072, October.
    5. Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Computational aspects of robust optimized certainty equivalents and option pricing," Papers 1706.10186, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    6. Laeven, R.J.A. & Stadje, M.A., 2011. "Entropy Coherent and Entropy Convex Measures of Risk," Discussion Paper 2011-031, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    7. Knispel, Thomas & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Svindland, Gregor, 2016. "Robust optimal risk sharing and risk premia in expanding pools," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 182-195.
    8. Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2023. "Spatial growth theory: Optimality and spatial heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    9. Erio Castagnoli & Giacomo Cattelan & Fabio Maccheroni & Claudio Tebaldi & Ruodu Wang, 2021. "Star-shaped Risk Measures," Papers 2103.15790, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
    10. Sigrid Källblad, 2017. "Risk- and ambiguity-averse portfolio optimization with quasiconcave utility functionals," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 397-425, April.
    11. Volker Krätschmer & Marcel Ladkau & Roger J. A. Laeven & John G. M. Schoenmakers & Mitja Stadje, 2018. "Optimal Stopping Under Uncertainty in Drift and Jump Intensity," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 1177-1209, November.
    12. Sigrid Kallblad, 2013. "Risk- and ambiguity-averse portfolio optimization with quasiconcave utility functionals," Papers 1311.7419, arXiv.org.
    13. Roger J. A. Laeven & Mitja Stadje, 2013. "Entropy Coherent and Entropy Convex Measures of Risk," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 38(2), pages 265-293, May.
    14. Herzberg, Frederik, 2014. "Aggregation of Monotonic Bernoullian Archimedean preferences: Arrovian impossibility results," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 488, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    15. Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximisation and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Papers 2105.00935, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    16. Stadje, M.A. & Pelsser, A., 2014. "Time-Consistent and Market-Consistent Evaluations (Revised version of 2012-086)," Other publications TiSEM 0841e78f-a73b-42c1-b7d4-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    17. Aharon Ben-Tal & Dimitris Bertsimas & David B. Brown, 2010. "A Soft Robust Model for Optimization Under Ambiguity," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(4-part-2), pages 1220-1234, August.
    18. Jan Obłój & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximization and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1454-1493, October.
    19. Giammarino, Flavia & Barrieu, Pauline, 2013. "Indifference pricing with uncertainty averse preferences," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 22-27.
    20. Schied, Alexander, 2005. "Optimal investments for risk- and ambiguity-averse preferences: A duality approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-051, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.05326. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.