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Self Organizing Supply Chains for Micro-Prediction: Present and Future uses of the ROAR Protocol

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  • Peter Cotton

Abstract

A multi-agent system is trialed as a means of crowd-sourcing inexpensive but high quality streams of predictions. Each agent is a microservice embodying statistical models and endowed with economic self-interest. The ability to fork and modify simple agents is granted to a large number of employees in a firm and empirical lessons are reported. We suggest that one plausible trajectory for this project is the creation of a Prediction Web.

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  • Peter Cotton, 2019. "Self Organizing Supply Chains for Micro-Prediction: Present and Future uses of the ROAR Protocol," Papers 1907.07514, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1907.07514
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    1. Holmstrom, Bengt & Milgrom, Paul, 1987. "Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 303-328, March.
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