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Using Deep Learning Neural Networks and Candlestick Chart Representation to Predict Stock Market

Author

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  • Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma
  • Trang-Thi Ho
  • Wei-Chun Kao
  • Yu-Yen Ou
  • Kai-Lung Hua

Abstract

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic factors. This work explores the predictability in the stock market using Deep Convolutional Network and candlestick charts. The outcome is utilized to design a decision support framework that can be used by traders to provide suggested indications of future stock price direction. We perform this work using various types of neural networks like convolutional neural network, residual network and visual geometry group network. From stock market historical data, we converted it to candlestick charts. Finally, these candlestick charts will be feed as input for training a Convolutional Neural Network model. This Convolutional Neural Network model will help us to analyze the patterns inside the candlestick chart and predict the future movements of stock market. The effectiveness of our method is evaluated in stock market prediction with a promising results 92.2% and 92.1% accuracy for Taiwan and Indonesian stock market dataset respectively. The constructed model have been implemented as a web-based system freely available at http://140.138.155.216/deepcandle/ for predicting stock market using candlestick chart and deep learning neural networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma & Trang-Thi Ho & Wei-Chun Kao & Yu-Yen Ou & Kai-Lung Hua, 2019. "Using Deep Learning Neural Networks and Candlestick Chart Representation to Predict Stock Market," Papers 1903.12258, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1903.12258
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1903.12258
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    2. Xi Zhang & Yunjia Zhang & Senzhang Wang & Yuntao Yao & Binxing Fang & Philip S. Yu, 2018. "Improving Stock Market Prediction via Heterogeneous Information Fusion," Papers 1801.00588, arXiv.org.
    3. Lu, Tsung-Hsun & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Liu, Tsung-Chi, 2012. "Profitable candlestick trading strategies—The evidence from a new perspective," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 63-68.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shima Nabiee & Nader Bagherzadeh, 2023. "Stock Trend Prediction: A Semantic Segmentation Approach," Papers 2303.09323, arXiv.org.
    2. Koya Ishikawa & Kazuhide Nakata, 2021. "Online Trading Models with Deep Reinforcement Learning in the Forex Market Considering Transaction Costs," Papers 2106.03035, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
    3. Longbing Cao, 2021. "AI in Finance: Challenges, Techniques and Opportunities," Papers 2107.09051, arXiv.org.
    4. Sungwoo Kang & Jong-Kook Kim, 2023. "Using a Deep Learning Model to Simulate Human Stock Trader's Methods of Chart Analysis," Papers 2304.14870, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    5. Zezheng Zhang & Matloob Khushi, 2020. "GA-MSSR: Genetic Algorithm Maximizing Sharpe and Sterling Ratio Method for RoboTrading," Papers 2008.09471, arXiv.org.

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