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A martingale concept for non-monotone information in a jump process framework

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  • Marcus C. Christiansen

Abstract

The information dynamics in finance and insurance applications is usually modeled by a filtration. This paper looks at situations where information restrictions apply such that the information dynamics may become non-monotone. A fundamental tool for calculating and managing risks in finance and insurance are martingale representations. We present a general theory that extends classical martingale representations to non-monotone information generated by marked point processes. The central idea is to focus only on those properties that martingales and compensators show on infinitesimally short intervals. While classical martingale representations describe innovations only, our representations have an additional symmetric counterpart that quantifies the effect of information loss. We exemplify the results with examples from life insurance and credit risk.

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  • Marcus C. Christiansen, 2018. "A martingale concept for non-monotone information in a jump process framework," Papers 1811.00952, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1811.00952
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Last, Günter & Penrose, Mathew D., 2011. "Martingale representation for Poisson processes with applications to minimal variance hedging," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(7), pages 1588-1606, July.
    2. Djehiche, Boualem & Löfdahl, Björn, 2016. "Nonlinear reserving in life insurance: Aggregation and mean-field approximation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-13.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcus C. Christiansen & Christian Furrer, 2020. "Dynamics of state-wise prospective reserves in the presence of non-monotone information," Papers 2003.02173, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    2. Christiansen, Marcus C. & Furrer, Christian, 2021. "Dynamics of state-wise prospective reserves in the presence of non-monotone information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 81-98.

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