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Rebalancing Frequency Considerations for Kelly-Optimal Stock Portfolios in a Control-Theoretic Framework

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  • Chung-Han Hsieh
  • John A. Gubner
  • B. Ross Barmish

Abstract

In this paper, motivated by the celebrated work of Kelly, we consider the problem of portfolio weight selection to maximize expected logarithmic growth. Going beyond existing literature, our focal point here is the rebalancing frequency which we include as an additional parameter in our analysis. The problem is first set in a control-theoretic framework, and then, the main question we address is as follows: In the absence of transaction costs, does high-frequency trading always lead to the best performance? Related to this is our prior work on betting, also in the Kelly context, which examines the impact of making a wager and letting it ride. Our results on betting frequency can be interpreted in the context of weight selection for a two-asset portfolio consisting of one risky asset and one riskless asset. With regard to the question above, our prior results indicate that it is often the case that there are no performance benefits associated with high-frequency trading. In the present paper, we generalize the analysis to portfolios with multiple risky assets. We show that if there is an asset satisfying a new condition which we call dominance, then an optimal portfolio consists of this asset alone; i.e., the trader has "all eggs in one basket" and performance becomes a constant function of rebalancing frequency. Said another way, the problem of rebalancing is rendered moot. The paper also includes simulations which address practical considerations associated with real stock prices and the dominant asset condition.

Suggested Citation

  • Chung-Han Hsieh & John A. Gubner & B. Ross Barmish, 2018. "Rebalancing Frequency Considerations for Kelly-Optimal Stock Portfolios in a Control-Theoretic Framework," Papers 1807.05265, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1807.05265
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Leonard Maclean & Edward Thorp & William Ziemba, 2010. "Long-term capital growth: the good and bad properties of the Kelly and fractional Kelly capital growth criteria," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(7), pages 681-687.
    2. Daniel Kuhn & David Luenberger, 2010. "Analysis of the rebalancing frequency in log-optimal portfolio selection," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 221-234.
    3. Sujit R. Das & Dmitri Kaznachey & Mukul Goyal, 2014. "Computing optimal rebalance frequency for log-optimal portfolios," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 1489-1502, January.
    4. Chung-Han Hsieh & B. Ross Barmish & John A. Gubner, 2018. "At What Frequency Should the Kelly Bettor Bet?," Papers 1801.06737, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    5. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chung-Han Hsieh & B. Ross Barmish & John A. Gubner, 2019. "On Positive Solutions of a Delay Equation Arising When Trading in Financial Markets," Papers 1901.02480, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    2. Chung-Han Hsieh, 2020. "On Feedback Control in Kelly Betting: An Approximation Approach," Papers 2004.14048, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    3. Chung-Han Hsieh, 2022. "On Solving Robust Log-Optimal Portfolio: A Supporting Hyperplane Approximation Approach," Papers 2202.03858, arXiv.org.
    4. Chung-Han Hsieh, 2021. "On Asymptotic Log-Optimal Buy-and-Hold Strategy," Papers 2103.04898, arXiv.org.
    5. Chung-Han Hsieh & B. Ross Barmish & John A. Gubner, 2019. "The Impact of Execution Delay on Kelly-Based Stock Trading: High-Frequency Versus Buy and Hold," Papers 1907.08771, arXiv.org.
    6. Chung-Han Hsieh, 2020. "Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Frequency-Based Kelly Optimal Portfolio," Papers 2004.12099, arXiv.org.

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