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Exploiting Investors Social Network for Stock Prediction in China's Market

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  • Xi Zhang
  • Jiawei Shi
  • Di Wang
  • Binxing Fang

Abstract

Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as China, where retail investors dominate the market. In this regard, as retail investors are prone to be influenced by news or other social media, psychological and behavioral features extracted from social media platforms are thought to well predict stock price movements in the China's market. Recent advances in the investor social network in China enables the extraction of such features from web-scale data. In this paper, on the basis of tweets from Xueqiu, a popular Chinese Twitter-like social platform specialized for investors, we analyze features with regard to collective sentiment and perception on stock relatedness and predict stock price movements by employing nonlinear models. The features of interest prove to be effective in our experiments.

Suggested Citation

  • Xi Zhang & Jiawei Shi & Di Wang & Binxing Fang, 2018. "Exploiting Investors Social Network for Stock Prediction in China's Market," Papers 1801.00597, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1801.00597
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Dmitry G. Rodionov & Polina A. Pashinina & Evgenii A. Konnikov & Olga A. Konnikova, 2022. "Information Environment Quantifiers as Investment Analysis Basis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, September.
    3. Afanasyev, Dmitriy O. & Fedorova, Elena & Ledyaeva, Svetlana, 2021. "Strength of words: Donald Trump's tweets, sanctions and Russia's ruble," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 253-277.
    4. Feng Wang & Wei Chai & Xiaotian Shi & Mingru Dong & Bin Yan, 2021. "Does Regional Financial Resource Contribute to Economic Growth? From the Perspective of Spatial Correlation Network," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440219, March.
    5. Wenbo Ge & Pooia Lalbakhsh & Leigh Isai & Artem Lensky & Hanna Suominen, 2023. "Comparing Deep Learning Models for the Task of Volatility Prediction Using Multivariate Data," Papers 2306.12446, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    6. Yajie Qi & Huajiao Li & Sui Guo & Sida Feng, 2019. "Dynamic Transmission of Correlation between Investor Attention and Stock Price: Evidence from China’s Energy Industry Typical Stocks," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, December.
    7. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hajek, Petr & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Dong, Yizhe, 2023. "Effect of twitter investor engagement on cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    8. Weiguo Zhang & Xue Gong & Chao Wang & Xin Ye, 2021. "Predicting stock market volatility based on textual sentiment: A nonlinear analysis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1479-1500, December.
    9. Ben Hasselgren & Christos Chrysoulas & Nikolaos Pitropakis & William J. Buchanan, 2022. "Using Social Media & Sentiment Analysis to Make Investment Decisions," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-23, December.
    10. Yongan Xu & Jianqiong Wang & Zhonglu Chen & Chao Liang, 2023. "Sentiment indices and stock returns: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 1063-1080, January.
    11. Liang, Chao & Tang, Linchun & Li, Yan & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Which sentiment index is more informative to forecast stock market volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Wenwen Liu & Jinyu Yang & Jingrui Chen & Lei Xu, 2023. "How Social-Network Attention and Sentiment of Investors Affect Commodity Futures Market Returns: New Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.

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