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A posteriori multi-stage optimal trading under transaction costs and a diversification constraint

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  • Mogens Graf Plessen
  • Alberto Bemporad

Abstract

This paper presents a simple method for a posteriori (historical) multi-variate multi-stage optimal trading under transaction costs and a diversification constraint. Starting from a given amount of money in some currency, we analyze the stage-wise optimal allocation over a time horizon with potential investments in multiple currencies and various assets. Three variants are discussed, including unconstrained trading frequency, a fixed number of total admissable trades, and the waiting of a specific time-period after every executed trade until the next trade. The developed methods are based on efficient graph generation and consequent graph search, and are evaluated quantitatively on real-world data. The fundamental motivation of this work is preparatory labeling of financial time-series data for supervised machine learning.

Suggested Citation

  • Mogens Graf Plessen & Alberto Bemporad, 2017. "A posteriori multi-stage optimal trading under transaction costs and a diversification constraint," Papers 1709.07527, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1709.07527
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Albert Altarovici & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Halil Soner, 2015. "Asymptotics for fixed transaction costs," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 363-414, April.
    2. Andrew W. Lo & Harry Mamaysky & Jiang Wang, 2004. "Asset Prices and Trading Volume under Fixed Transactions Costs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(5), pages 1054-1090, October.
    3. Miguel Lobo & Maryam Fazel & Stephen Boyd, 2007. "Portfolio optimization with linear and fixed transaction costs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 341-365, July.
    4. Victor Boyarshinov & Malik Magdon-Ismail, 2010. "Efficient Computation of Optimal Trading Strategies," Papers 1009.4683, arXiv.org.
    5. Andrew J. Morton & Stanley R. Pliska, 1995. "Optimal Portfolio Management With Fixed Transaction Costs," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(4), pages 337-356, October.
    6. Ralf Korn, 1998. "Portfolio optimisation with strictly positive transaction costs and impulse control," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 85-114.
    7. Michel Fliess & C'edric Join, 2009. "A mathematical proof of the existence of trends in financial time series," Papers 0901.1945, arXiv.org.
    8. Michel Fliess & Cédric Join, 2009. "A mathematical proof of the existence of trends in financial time series," Post-Print inria-00352834, HAL.
    9. Tay, Francis E. H. & Cao, Lijuan, 2001. "Application of support vector machines in financial time series forecasting," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 309-317, August.
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