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Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in Europe

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  • Ron W Nielsen

Abstract

Historical economic growth in Western and Eastern Europe is analysed. These regions should have produced the best and the most convincing confirmation of the Unified Growth Theory because they, and in particular Western Europe, were the centre of the Industrial Revolution, which according to Galor was the prime engine of economic growth. However, the data for Western and Eastern Europe show a remarkable disagreement with the Unified Growth Theory. There is no connection, whatever, between the data and the Unified Growth Theory. The data show that there was never a transition from stagnation to growth because there was no stagnation. Industrial Revolution, which should have the strongest influence in these regions, had absolutely no impact on changing the economic growth trajectories. The alleged remarkable or stunning escape from Malthusian trap did not happen because there was no trap. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of the economic growth because its explanations are based on mythical features, which did not exist, the features contradicted by data. This theory needs to be either thoroughly revised or most likely replaced by a theory supported by a professional analysis of economic growth data.

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  • Ron W Nielsen, 2015. "Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in Europe," Papers 1512.08067, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1512.08067
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Oded Galor & Omer Moav, 2002. "Natural Selection and the Origin of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1133-1191.
    2. Oded Galor, 2011. "Unified Growth Theory and Comparative Development," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, issue 2, pages 9-21, April-Jun.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ron W Nielsen, 2016. "The unresolved mystery of the great divergence is solved," Papers 1603.08344, arXiv.org, revised May 2016.
    2. Ron W. NIELSEN, 2016. "Mathematical Analysis of the Historical Economic Growth with a Search for Takeoffs from Stagnation to Growth," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Ron W. Nielsen, 2017. "Explaining the Mechanism of Growth in the Past Two Million Years Vol. I," Papers 1710.01768, arXiv.org.

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