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Large-scale empirical study on pairs trading for all possible pairs of stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange

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  • Mitsuaki Murota
  • Jun-ichi Inoue

Abstract

We carry out a large-scale empirical data analysis to examine the efficiency of the so-called pairs trading. On the basis of relevant three thresholds, namely, starting, profit-taking, and stop-loss for the `first-passage process' of the spread (gap) between two highly-correlated stocks, we construct an effective strategy to make a trade via `active' stock-pairs automatically. The algorithm is applied to $1,784$ stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange leading up to totally $1,590,436$ pairs. We are numerically confirmed that the asset management by means of the pairs trading works effectively at least for the past three years (2010-2012) data sets in the sense that the profit rate becomes positive (totally positive arbitrage) in most cases of the possible combinations of thresholds corresponding to `absorbing boundaries' in the literature of first-passage processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitsuaki Murota & Jun-ichi Inoue, 2014. "Large-scale empirical study on pairs trading for all possible pairs of stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Papers 1412.7269, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1412.7269
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bouchaud,Jean-Philippe & Potters,Marc, 2009. "Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521741866.
    2. Kaizoji, Taisei, 2000. "Speculative bubbles and crashes in stock markets: an interacting-agent model of speculative activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 493-506.
    3. Takero Ibuki & Shunsuke Higano & Sei Suzuki & Jun-ichi Inoue & Anirban Chakraborti, 2013. "Statistical inference of co-movements of stocks during a financial crisis," Papers 1309.1871, arXiv.org.
    4. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2012. "Crises and collective socio-economic phenomena: simple models and challenges," Papers 1209.0453, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2012.
    5. Mitsuaki Murota & Jun-ichi Inoue, 2013. "Characterizing financial crisis by means of the three states random field Ising model," Papers 1309.5030, arXiv.org.
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