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Cost-benefit analysis of a municipal waste management project: Using a survey of professional forecasters to provide reliable projections until 2035

Author

Listed:
  • Yash Chawla
  • Katarzyna Chojnacka
  • Michal Paca
  • Anna Pudelko
  • Rafal Weron
  • Przemyslaw Zaleski

Abstract

The widespread adoption of selective kitchen and garden waste processing in closed biogas plants is often hindered by financial feasibility and social acceptance. This study presents a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of waste processing through wet and dry fermentation, evaluating energy recovery options from combined heat and power and compressed natural gas installations. Drawing on data from a Polish investment project and a novel concept in waste management research – a survey of professional energy forecasters, we provide financial projections until 2035 to guide sustainable decision-making. Our results emphasize the economic viability of bio-based energy recovery technologies, while also highlighting the potential social and environmental benefits. By diverting waste from landfills and recovering energy, biogas plants contribute to both energy transition goals and the broader objectives of sustainable waste management, including improved resource efficiency and reduced reliance on fossil fuels. This study offers practical insights for municipalities and businesses, promoting policies that support public-private partnerships and the long-term viability of renewable energy projects within the circular economy framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Yash Chawla & Katarzyna Chojnacka & Michal Paca & Anna Pudelko & Rafal Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski, 2025. "Cost-benefit analysis of a municipal waste management project: Using a survey of professional forecasters to provide reliable projections until 2035," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/25/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahh:wpaper:worms2501
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    File URL: https://worms.pwr.edu.pl/RePEc/ahh/wpaper/WORMS_25_01.pdf
    File Function: Final version, 2025
    Download Restriction: no
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Municipal solid waste; Biogas plant; Cost-benefit analysis; Professional forecasters survey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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