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The Effect of Weather and Technology on Corn Yields in the Corn Belt, 1929-62

Author

Listed:
  • Shaw, Lawrence H.
  • Durost, Donald D.

Abstract

Excerpts from the report Summary: Recent increases in agricultural output have prompted agricultural researchers to investigate the roles of weather and technology in crop yields. This study assesses the relative effect of each on corn yields in the Corn Belt between 1929 and 1962. Weather indexes were constructed for all States of the Corn Belt and the Corn Belt as a whole. These measures were constructed from corn variety test data, and were used to adjust yield and output series for the influence of weather by a simple deflation process. State indexes were developed by aggregating weather indexes for individual locations. When the weather index is used to deflate the effect of weather on yields, the actual yield series may be adjusted to show the technological yield trend without the effects of weather. Variation in the adjusted yield series is an estimate of the effect of changes in technology. The weather index was also used to facilitate the analysis of the distribution of weather effects and the effect that improved technology has had in reducing fluctuations due to weather.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaw, Lawrence H. & Durost, Donald D., 1965. "The Effect of Weather and Technology on Corn Yields in the Corn Belt, 1929-62," Agricultural Economic Reports 307297, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uerser:307297
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.307297
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/307297/files/aer80.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. W. A. Cromarty, 1961. "Free Market Price Projections Bases on a Formal Econometric Model," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 43(2), pages 365-378.
    2. Milton Friedman, 1962. "Introduction to "The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series"," NBER Chapters, in: The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series, pages 1-3, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lawrence H. Shaw, 1964. "The Effect of Weather on Agricultural Output: A Look at Methodology," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 46(1), pages 218-230.
    4. Milton Friedman, 1962. "The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie62-1.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Richard C. Sutch, 2008. "Henry Agard Wallace, The Iowa Corn Yield Tests, And The Adoption Of Hybrid Corn," Working Papers 200807, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2008.
    2. Richard C. Sutch, 2008. "Henry Agard Wallace, the Iowa Corn Yield Tests, and the Adoption of Hybrid Corn," NBER Working Papers 14141, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Richard Sutch, 2011. "The Impact of the 1936 Corn Belt Drought on American Farmers' Adoption of Hybrid Corn," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Climate Change: Adaptations Past and Present, pages 195-223, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ibach, D. B., 1966. "Fertilizer Use in the United States: Its Economic Position and Outlook," Agricultural Economic Reports 307304, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Geigel, Joanne M. & Sundquist, W. Burt, 1984. "A Review And Evaluation Of Weather-Crop Yield Models," Staff Papers 13699, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    6. Richard Sutch, 2010. "The Impact of the 1936 Corn-Belt Drought on American Farmers’ Adoption of Hybrid Corn," Working Papers 201002, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2010.

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