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Agricultural Trade Flows among Developing Countries: Do Regional Preferential Trade Agreements make a Difference?

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  • Tembo, Gelson
  • Jayne, Thomas S.

Abstract

Regional integration through trade is recognized as one way to foster economic growth and poverty reduction. This paper uses the gravity model and 11-year panel data (1996-2006) on Southern African Development Community (SADC) member countries to study Zambia’s regional agricultural trade flows and the impact of the SADC Trade Protocol (SADC-TP). Zambia’s volume of trade is significantly related to most of the standard gravity variables. The results indicate that Zambia has been largely trading below potential, especially with respect to exports. There have been improvements in Zambia’s trade flows during the SADC-TP period but only with a few countries. Further improvements will require re-examining protocol implementation and individual countries’ production and marketing costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Tembo, Gelson & Jayne, Thomas S., 2009. "Agricultural Trade Flows among Developing Countries: Do Regional Preferential Trade Agreements make a Difference?," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51733, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae09:51733
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51733
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alan V. Deardorff, 2011. "Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robert M Stern (ed.), Comparative Advantage, Growth, And The Gains From Trade And Globalization A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff, chapter 24, pages 267-293, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Howard J. Wall, 2000. "Gravity model specification and the effects of the Canada-U.S. border," Working Papers 2000-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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