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Risikowahrnehmung In Milchviehbetrieben: Eine Empirische Studie Zur Vergleichenden Bewertung Von Politik-, Markt- Und Produktionsrisiken

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  • Wocken, Christian
  • Schaper, Christian
  • Lassen, Birthe J.
  • Spiller, Achim
  • Theuvsen, Ludwig

Abstract

Im Zuge der Reform der EU-Agrarpolitik werden seit dem Midterm-Review zunehmend weniger politische Instrumente zur Stützung des europäischen Milchmarkts eingesetzt. Dadurch und durch die wahrscheinlich im Zuge der WTO-Verhandlungen erfolgende Lockerung des EU-Außenschutzes werden Milcherzeuger wesentlich stärker als bisher den Kräften des Marktes und den damit verbundenen Risiken ausgesetzt. Vor diesem Hintergrund war das Ziel der vorliegenden Studie, die Risikowahrnehmung der Landwirte aus einer verhaltenswissenschaftlichen Perspektive zu untersuchen. Datengrundlage bildet eine Befragung von 236 Milcherzeugern zum Risikomanagement auf ihren Betrieben. Dabei wurden Politik-, Markt- und Preis- sowie Produktionsrisiken hinsichtlich ihrer Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit und Schadenauswirkung bewertet. Risiken auf den Faktormärkten stehen dabei im Vordergrund, gefolgt von Politik- und Produktionsrisiken. Weiterhin wurden die empirischen Ergebnisse vor dem Hintergrund neuerer Forschungsarbeiten zur Risikowahrnehmung und zu kognitiven Entscheidungsheuristiken interpretiert. Insgesamt konnten dabei verschiedene Erklärungsansätze für die Wahrnehmung von Risiken aufgezeigt und mögliche Einflussfaktoren von Wahrnehmungsverzerrungen identifiziert werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Wocken, Christian & Schaper, Christian & Lassen, Birthe J. & Spiller, Achim & Theuvsen, Ludwig, 2008. "Risikowahrnehmung In Milchviehbetrieben: Eine Empirische Studie Zur Vergleichenden Bewertung Von Politik-, Markt- Und Produktionsrisiken," 48th Annual Conference, Bonn, Germany, September 24-26, 2008 52667, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gaae08:52667
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.52667
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    1. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Martinsohn, Maria & Hansen, Heiko, 2012. "The Impact of Climate Change on the Economics of Dairy Farming – a Review and Evaluation," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 61(02), pages 1-16, May.
    2. Martinsohn, Maria & Hansen, Heiko, 2012. "The Impact of Climate Change on the Economics of Dairy Farming – a Review and Evaluation," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 61(2).
    3. Christian Schaper & Ludwig Theuvsen & Achim Spiller, 2010. "Risikoneigung und Risikoverhalten von Milch-erzeugern: Eine Typologisierung," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 3(1), pages 157-193.

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    Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty;

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