IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/asea24/344438.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Spatial Price Transmission in the Retail Rice Markets of the Philippines

Author

Listed:
  • Bathan, B.M.

Abstract

Rice markets in the Philippines recently experienced various policy shocks, including the implementation of the Rice Tariffication Law (RTL) in March 2019, and the imposition of price freeze during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, and mandated ceiling prices on milled rice in September 2023. This study aims to examine the spatial price transmission of regular milled rice across 17 regional retail markets. By analyzing monthly price data from January 2012 to December 2023, the study seeks to describe structural breaks in price series, assess the speed and magnitude of price adjustments, determine the nature and direction of price transmissions, and identify factors influencing spatial price transmissions. Various analytical techniques, such as descriptive analysis, unit root and structural break tests, Toda-Yamamoto causality tests, and the autoregressive distributed lag technique, are employed to analyze the price series. The findings reveal significant positive and negative structural breaks. Both Central Luzon, the top producer of paddy rice, and Eastern Visayas, the main consumer of regular milled rice, serve as reference markets. The National Capital Region also functions as a central market. The speed of price adjustments ranges from 1.18 to 3.60 months, while asymmetric price transmission is observed in two out of four spatially integrated regional markets. Cagayan Valley exhibits almost one-to-one price transmission, whereas the other reference markets have an elasticity of price transmission of less than 0.80. The study recommends monitoring prices, disseminating market information, investigating unfair trade practices, improving NFA inventory management, and developing targeted price and market policy measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Bathan, B.M., 2024. "Spatial Price Transmission in the Retail Rice Markets of the Philippines," ASEAN University for Sustainable Food System, Faculty of Economics, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand, April 18-19, 2024 344438, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:asea24:344438
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.344438
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/344438/files/Bathan%2C%20B.M..pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.344438?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2016. "Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: application and interpretation," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 1-3.
    2. Intal, Ponciano Jr. S. & Garcia, Marissa C., 2005. "Rice and Philippine Politics," Discussion Papers DP 2005-13, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    3. Rachel Rose & Dimitrios Paparas, 2023. "Price Transmission: The Case of the UK Dairy Market," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-21, March.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Jochen Meyer & Stephan von Cramon‐Taubadel, 2004. "Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Survey," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 581-611, November.
    6. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Osman AKGÜL & Abdullah Miraç BÜKEY, 2020. "Türkiye’de Enflasyon ile Asgari Ücretler Arasındaki İlişki ve Ücret-Fiyat Sarmalı," Journal of Social Policy Conferences, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(78), pages 257-282, June.
    2. Manuel Carlos Nogueira & Mara Madaleno, 2021. "Is the Aurora Borealis an Inspiration to the Performance of Nordic Economic Sustainability?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-22, September.
    3. Thomas Habanabakize, 2021. "Determining the Household Consumption Expenditure’s Resilience towards Petrol Price, Disposable Income and Exchange Rate Volatilities," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Faisal,, 2022. "Financial development and natural resources. Is there a stock market resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Faisal, Faisal & Bazhair, Ayman Hassan & Sulimany, Hamid Ghazi H & Rahman, Sami Ur, 2024. "Does escaping the natural resource curse complement evading the financial resource curse too? Empirical evidence from Indonesia," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 539-555.
    6. Md. Saiful Islam & Anis ur Rehman & Imran Khan, 2024. "Assessing the Impact of Environmental Technology on CO 2 Emissions in Saudi Arabia: A Quantile-Based NARDL Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-21, July.
    7. Md. Saiful Islam, 2023. "Does an export‐led growth proposition exist for Bangladesh's ready‐made garments sector? A nonlinear ARDL approach," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 939-955, June.
    8. Jesser Roberto Paladines Amaiquema, 2017. "Is Ecuador Real Gross Domestic Product per Capita and Other Macroeconomic Variables Cointegrated? An Autoregressive Distribution Lag Bound Test Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 9-13.
    9. Sarwar, Muhammad Nadeem & Hussain, Hamid & Maqbool, Muhammad Bilal, 2020. "Pass through effects of oil price on food and non-food prices in Pakistan: A nonlinear ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Alper YILMAZ, 2024. "Bilateral J-Curve Between Türkiye and Its Major Non-EU Trading Partners: Evidence from Both Linear and Non-Linear Approach," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 32(60).
    11. Alexis Vessat, 2016. "Energy Consumption-Economic Growth nexus in Sub-Saharan Countries: what can we learn from a meta-analysis? (1996-2016)," Post-Print hal-01944514, HAL.
    12. Ibitoye J. Oyebanji & Ewert P. J. Kleynhans, 2021. "Renewable energy, international trade, carbon dioxide emissions, and economic growth in Nigeria," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2021(2), pages 173-195.
    13. Clovis Wendji Miamo & Elvis Dze Achuo, 2021. "Crude Oil Price and Real GDP Growth: An Application of ARDL Bounds Cointegration and Toda-Yamamoto Causality Tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1615-1626.
    14. Bashier Al-Abdulrazag & Musa Foudeh, 2022. "Does inflation reduce remittance outflows in Saudi Arabia?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2141424-214, December.
    15. Villanthenkodath, Muhammed Ashiq & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2021. "Does economic growth respond to electricity consumption asymmetrically in Bangladesh? The implication for environmental sustainability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    16. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Energy consumption, financial development and economic growth in India: New evidence from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 199-212.
    17. Nasreen, Samia & Anwar, Sofia & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1105-1122.
    18. Zheng, Li & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Salem, Sultan & Irfan, Muhammad & Alvarado, Rafael & Lv, Kangjuan, 2022. "How technological innovation and institutional quality affect sectoral energy consumption in Pakistan? Fresh policy insights from novel econometric approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    19. Soumen Rej & Barnali Nag & Md. Emran Hossain, 2024. "Foreign Direct Investment, Income Inequality and Pollution Reduction: Policy Trilemma for India," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 221-248, August.
    20. Lawrence U. Okoye & Alexander E. Omankhanlen & Johnson I. Okoh & Ngozi B. Adeleye & Felix N. Ezeji & Gideon K. Ezu & Benjamin I. Ehikioya, 2021. "Analyzing the Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 378-387.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Sustainability;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:asea24:344438. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://asean.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.