IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaea99/21706.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

An Economic Analysis Of The Determinants Of Lumber Futures Price Movements

Author

Listed:
  • Rucker, Randal R.
  • Thurman, Walter N.
  • Yoder, Jonathan K.

Abstract

Recent lumber price volatility has been attributed to Spotted Owl Litigation and U.S.-Canada trade disputes. We use intervention analysis to explain daily lumber futures price volatility based on these events and other factors. The way information enters the market is shown to affect the speed and extent of market reaction.

Suggested Citation

  • Rucker, Randal R. & Thurman, Walter N. & Yoder, Jonathan K., 1999. "An Economic Analysis Of The Determinants Of Lumber Futures Price Movements," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21706, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea99:21706
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.21706
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/21706/files/sp99ru01.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.21706?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brian C. Murray & David N. Wear, 1998. "Federal Timber Restrictions and Interregional Arbitrage in U.S. Lumber," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 74(1), pages 76-91.
    2. Thomas L. Mann & Richard J. Dowen, 1996. "Are hog and pig reports informative?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 273-287, May.
    3. Morse, D, 1981. "Price And Trading Volume Reaction Surrounding Earnings Announcements - A Closer Examination," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 374-383.
    4. Rodney G. Robenstein & Walter N. Thurman, 1996. "Health Risk and the Demand for Red Meat: Evidence from Futures Markets," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 18(4), pages 629-641.
    5. Montgomery Claire A. & Brown Jr. , Gardner M. & Adams Darius M., 1994. "The Marginal Cost of Species Preservation: The Northern Spotted Owl," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 111-128, March.
    6. Ellison, Sara Fisher & Mullin, Wallace P, 1995. "Economics and Politics: The Case of Sugar Tariff Reform," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 38(2), pages 335-366, October.
    7. Schwert, G William, 1981. "Using Financial Data to Measure Effects of Regulation," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 24(1), pages 121-158, April.
    8. Ball, Clifford A. & Torous, Walter N., 1988. "Investigating security-price performance in the presence of event-date uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 123-153, October.
    9. Fama, Eugene F, et al, 1969. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, February.
    10. Daniel A. Summer & Rolf A. E. Mueller, 1989. "Are Harvest Forecasts News? USDA Announcements and Futures Market Reactions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(1), pages 1-8.
    11. Seung‐Ryong Yang & B. Wade Brorsen, 1995. "Price limits as an explanation of thin‐tailedness in pork bellies futures prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 45-59, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. James E. Henderson & Tina M. Willson & Michael A. Dunn & Richard F. Kazmierczak, 2009. "The Impact Of Forestry‐Related Ordinances On Timber Harvesting In St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 27(1), pages 67-75, January.
    2. Henderson, James E. & Willson, Tina M. & Dunn, Michael A. & Kazmierczak, Richard F., Jr., 2006. "The Role of Local Policies on Resource Utilization: Timber Harvesting in St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35397, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Berna Karali & Walter N. Thurman, 2009. "Announcement effects and the theory of storage: an empirical study of lumber futures," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(4), pages 421-436, July.
    2. Ellison, Sara Fisher & Mullin, Wallace P, 1995. "Economics and Politics: The Case of Sugar Tariff Reform," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 38(2), pages 335-366, October.
    3. Marín Uribe, Pedro Luis, 2001. "Exclusive Contracts and Market Power: Evidence from Ocean Shipping," CEPR Discussion Papers 2828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. K. Chau & S. Wong & C. Yiu & Maurice Tse & Frederik Pretorius, 2010. "Do Unexpected Land Auction Outcomes Bring New Information to the Real Estate Market?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 40(4), pages 480-496, May.
    5. Javid, Attiya Yasmin, 2009. "The Response of the Pakistani Stock market to a Cataclysmic Event," MPRA Paper 37565, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. AitSahlia, Farid & Yoon, Joon-Hui, 2016. "Information stages in efficient markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 84-94.
    7. Lazarus Angbazo & Anthony Saunders, "undated". "The Effect of TBTF Deregulation on Bank Cost of Funds," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 97-25, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    8. N. Wear, David & Murray, Brian C., 2004. "Federal timber restrictions, interregional spillovers, and the impact on US softwood markets," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 307-330, March.
    9. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Rommel, J. & Neuenfeldt, S. & Odening, M., 2010. "Markteffekte medienwirksamer Lebensmittelskandale – eine Ergebnisstudie," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 45, March.
    11. Aktas, Nihat & de Bodt, Eric & Cousin, Jean-Gabriel, 2007. "Event studies with a contaminated estimation period," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 129-145, March.
    12. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    13. Stephen Kawas & Everton Dockery, 2023. "What do we know about the stock markets’ reaction to regulatory announcements regarding financial institutions? Evidence from UK financial institutions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 31-67, January.
    14. Carl Lin, 2011. "Give me your wired and your highly skilled: measuring the impact of immigration policy on employers and shareholders," Working Papers 2011/17, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    15. Chortareas, Georgios & Cipollini, Andrea & Eissa, Mohamed Abdelaziz, 2012. "Switching to floating exchange rates, devaluations, and stock returns in MENA countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 119-127.
    16. O. Emre Tokel & M. Eray Yucel, 2009. "Click to Download Data : An Event Study of Internet Access to Economic Statistics," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22.
    17. Pieper, Ute & Schiereck, Dirk & Weber, Martin, 1992. "Die Kaufempfehlungen des "Effecten-Spiegel": Eine empirische Untersuchung im Lichte der Effizienzthese des Kapitalmarktes," Manuskripte aus den Instituten für Betriebswirtschaftslehre der Universität Kiel 296, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre.
    18. Manoj Anand & Jagandeep Singh, 2018. "Impact of Automobile Regulations on Shareholders’ Wealth: Indian Empirical Evidence," Metamorphosis: A Journal of Management Research, , vol. 17(1), pages 28-40, June.
    19. Lin, Carl, 2012. "Less Myth, More Measurement: Decomposing Excess Returns from the 1989 Minimum Wage Hike," IZA Discussion Papers 6269, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    20. Cunha, P.A.M.F.V., 2005. "The value of cooperation : Studies on the performance outcomes of interorganizational alliances," Other publications TiSEM 59466e6c-1920-461e-b5e9-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aaea99:21706. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.