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The Use of Forecasts in Decision Making: The Case of Stocker Cattle in Florida

Author

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  • Arnade, Carlos A.
  • Spreen, Thomas H.

Abstract

The decision to overwinter feeder cattle hinges directly on the forecast of spring cattle prices. An analysis: of forecasts fran several alternative models is presented. The models are evaluated- using both the traditional mean square criterion and their ability to lead to the correct decision.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnade, Carlos A. & Spreen, Thomas H., 1983. "The Use of Forecasts in Decision Making: The Case of Stocker Cattle in Florida," 1983 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 3, West Lafayette, Indiana 279119, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea83:279119
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.279119
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    Cited by:

    1. Johnson, Frank & Spreen, Thomas H. & Hewitt, Timothy D., 1987. "A Stochastic Dominance Analysis Of Contract Grazing Feeder Cattle," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Harrison, R. Wes, 1998. "Stochastic Dominance Analysis Of Futures And Option Strategies For Hedging Feeder Cattle," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 27(2), pages 1-11, October.
    3. Harrison, R. Wes & Bobst, Barry W. & Benson, Fred J. & Meyer, Lee, 1996. "Analysis Of The Risk Management Properties Of Grazing Contracts Versus Futures And Option Contracts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(2), pages 1-16, December.

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