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Testing the local volatility assumption: a statistical approach

Author

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  • Mark Podolskij

    (University of Heidelberg and CREATES)

  • Mathieu Rosenbaum

    (École Polytechnique Paris)

Abstract

In practice, the choice of using a local volatility model or a stochastic volatility model is made according to their respective ability to fit implied volatility surfaces. In this paper, we adopt an opposite point of view. Indeed, based on historical data, we design a statistical procedure aiming at testing the assumption of a local volatility model for the price dynamics, against the alternative of a stochastic volatility model.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Podolskij & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2011. "Testing the local volatility assumption: a statistical approach," CREATES Research Papers 2011-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    • Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2011-04
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ole BARNDORFF-NIELSEN & Svend Erik GRAVERSEN & Jean JACOD & Mark PODOLSKIJ & Neil SHEPHARD, 2004. "A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe21, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
    2. Yuri Kabanov & Robert Liptser, 2006. "From Stochastic Calculus to Mathematical Finance. The Shiryaev Festschrift," Post-Print hal-00488295, HAL.
    3. A. Alvarez & F. Panloup & M. Pontier & N. Savy, 2008. "Estimation of the instantaneous volatility," Papers 0812.3538, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2010.
    4. Dette, Holger & Podolskij, Mark, 2008. "Testing the parametric form of the volatility in continuous time diffusion models--a stochastic process approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 56-73, March.
    5. Kinnebrock, Silja & Podolskij, Mark, 2008. "A note on the central limit theorem for bipower variation of general functions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(6), pages 1056-1070, June.
    6. Kristensen, Dennis, 2010. "Nonparametric Filtering Of The Realized Spot Volatility: A Kernel-Based Approach," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 60-93, February.
    7. Holger Dette & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2006. "Estimation of Integrated Volatility in Continuous‐Time Financial Models with Applications to Goodness‐of‐Fit Testing," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 259-278, June.
    8. Dette, Holger & Podolskij, Mark, 2005. "Testing the parametric form of the volatility in continuous time diffusion models: an empirical process approach," Technical Reports 2005,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    9. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jean Jacod & Mark Podolskij, 2012. "A test for the rank of the volatility process: the random perturbation approach," CREATES Research Papers 2012-57, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Melnykova, Anna & Reynaud-Bouret, Patricia & Samson, Adeline, 2024. "Non-asymptotic statistical tests of the diffusion coefficient of stochastic differential equations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    3. Bernard de Meyer & Moussa Dabo, 2019. "The CMMV Pricing Model in Practice," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02383135, HAL.
    4. Jean Jacod & Mark Podolskij, 2012. "A Test for the Rank of the Volatility Process: The Random Perturbation Approach," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-268, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    5. Bernard de Meyer & Moussa Dabo, 2019. "The CMMV Pricing Model in Practice," Post-Print halshs-02383135, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Local Volatility Models; Stochastic Volatility Models; Test Statistics; Semi-Martingales; Limit Theorems.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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