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Futures Trading Under Mean Reversion

In: Optimal Mean Reversion Trading Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications

Author

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  • Tim Leung
  • Xin Li

Abstract

Futures are an integral part of the universe of derivatives. A futures is a contract that requires the buyer to purchase (seller to sell) a fixed quantity of an asset, such as a commodity, at a fixed price to be paid for on a prespecified future date. Commonly traded on exchanges, there are futures written on various underlying assets or references, including commodities, interest rates, equity indices, and volatility indices. Many futures stipulate physical delivery of the underlying asset, with notable examples of agricultural, energy, and metal futures. However, some, like the VIX futures, are settled in cash…

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Leung & Xin Li, 2016. "Futures Trading Under Mean Reversion," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Optimal Mean Reversion Trading Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications, chapter 5, pages 105-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789814725927_0005
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tim Leung & Yang Zhou, 2019. "Optimal dynamic futures portfolio in a regime-switching market framework," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-27, December.
    2. Guo, Kevin & Leung, Tim, 2017. "Understanding the non-convergence of agricultural futures via stochastic storage costs and timing options," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 32-49.
    3. Yerkin Kitapbayev & Tim Leung, 2017. "Optimal mean-reverting spread trading: nonlinear integral equation approach," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 181-203, May.
    4. Bahman Angoshtari & Tim Leung, 2020. "Optimal trading of a basket of futures contracts," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 253-280, June.
    5. Reed, Sara & Campbell, Ann Melissa & Thomas, Barrett W., 2024. "Does parking matter? The impact of parking time on last-mile delivery optimization," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    6. Tim Leung & Raphael Yan, 2018. "Optimal dynamic pairs trading of futures under a two-factor mean-reverting model," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(03), pages 1-23, September.
    7. Jun Deng & Huifeng Pan & Shuyu Zhang & Bin Zou, 2021. "Optimal Bitcoin trading with inverse futures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 304(1), pages 139-163, September.
    8. Tim Leung & Raphael Yan, 2019. "A stochastic control approach to managed futures portfolios," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-22, March.
    9. Tim Leung & Jiao Li & Xin Li, 2018. "Optimal Timing to Trade along a Randomized Brownian Bridge," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-23, August.
    10. Jiao Li, 2016. "Trading VIX futures under mean reversion with regime switching," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Tim Leung & Brian Ward, 2020. "Tracking VIX with VIX Futures: Portfolio Construction and Performance," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: John B Guerard & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF APPLIED INVESTMENT RESEARCH, chapter 21, pages 557-596, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Tim Leung & Brian Ward, 2018. "Dynamic Index Tracking and Risk Exposure Control Using Derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 180-212, March.
    13. Zhou, Liyun & Zhang, Rixin & Huang, Jialiang, 2019. "Investor trading behavior on agricultural future prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 365-379.
    14. Yerkin Kitapbayev & Tim Leung, 2018. "Mean Reversion Trading With Sequential Deadlines And Transaction Costs," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(01), pages 1-22, February.
    15. Tim Leung & Yang Zhou, 2020. "Optimal dynamic futures portfolio in a regime-switching market framework," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-27, February.
    16. Jiao Li, 2016. "Trading VIX Futures under Mean Reversion with Regime Switching," Papers 1605.07945, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2016.

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