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The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution

In: Industry 4.0

Author

Listed:
  • Leonid Grinin

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Anton Grinin

    (International Center for Education, Social Research and Humanities)

  • Andrey Korotayev

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

In this chapter, we analyze the relationship between Kondratieff waves and major technological revolutions on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, and offer some forecasts about the features of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave/the Fourth Industrial Revolution. We show that the technological breakthrough of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave may be interpreted as both the Fourth Industrial Revolution and as the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable of combining a number of other technologies into a single system of new and innovative technologies (we denote this system as a system of MANBRIC-technologies—i.e. medical, additive, nano-, bio-, robo-, info-, and cogno-technologies).

Suggested Citation

  • Leonid Grinin & Anton Grinin & Andrey Korotayev, 2017. "The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution," Studies on Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and Industrial Dynamics, in: Tessaleno Devezas & João Leitão & Askar Sarygulov (ed.), Industry 4.0, pages 243-261, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:seschp:978-3-319-49604-7_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-49604-7_13
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    2. Grinin, Leonid & Grinin, Anton & Korotayev, Andrey, 2020. "A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

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