IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/mgmchp/978-3-031-66115-0_14.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Advancing a New Methodological Process

In: Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce Garvey

    (Strategy Foresight Limited)

  • Adam D. M. Svendsen

    (Norwegian Defence University College (NDUC/FHS))

Abstract

The methodological process being proposed in this chapter aims to comprehensively and substantially address the issue of scenario complexity. In our proposed model, we have identified some 18 key variables necessary to explore in-depth the characteristics of a ‘typical’ scenario with its inherent complexities being adequately captured. Interpreting foresight as a series of scenarios and where each scenario is seen through a different lens leads us to address the issue as a problem. However, the objective of the foresight process is not so much to solve the problem—which, indeed may not be possible, due to its complexities, interconnectivities and uncertainties, aka its ‘wickedness’—but to understand the structure of the challenge confronted so that the effects of the problem can be, at best, mitigated.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Garvey & Adam D. M. Svendsen, 2024. "Advancing a New Methodological Process," Management for Professionals, in: Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence, chapter 0, pages 287-308, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:mgmchp:978-3-031-66115-0_14
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0_14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:mgmchp:978-3-031-66115-0_14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.