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Disaster Risk Assessment Developing a Perceived Comprehensive Disaster Risk Index: The Cases of Three Chilean Cities

In: Applications and Theory of Analytic Hierarchy Process - Decision Making for Strategic Decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Claudio Garuti
  • Carmen Paz Castro
  • Juan Pablo Sarmiento

Abstract

A significant increase in the impacts caused by extreme events, of both natural and anthropogenic origin, has been observed in recent decades at a global scale. Chile is no exception to this dynamic. Hazards of various origins and their interactions with socioeconomic, urban, and demographic changes, combined with governance issues have led to a significant risk increase. An accurate assessment of this risk is a significantly complex problem and a holistic approach is required. To address this issue, a multi-criteria decision model has been designed, using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), which includes qualitative and quantitative variables. The model can be adapted to different contexts, generating a comparable metrics (commensurable) for different cities. The three cities analyzed in this study (Iquique, Puerto Montt, and Puerto Varas) show different levels of risks as a result of a synergic and dynamic combination of factors related not only with natural and physical conditions but also particularly with the variables related to social vulnerability and resilience capacity.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Garuti & Carmen Paz Castro & Juan Pablo Sarmiento, 2016. "Disaster Risk Assessment Developing a Perceived Comprehensive Disaster Risk Index: The Cases of Three Chilean Cities," Chapters, in: Fabio De Felice & Antonella Petrillo & Thomas Saaty (ed.), Applications and Theory of Analytic Hierarchy Process - Decision Making for Strategic Decisions, IntechOpen.
    • Handle: RePEc:ito:pchaps:103631
    DOI: 10.5772/62994
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    Cited by:

    1. Vergara, Felipe & Lakes, Tobia Maike, 2019. "Maizification of the landscape for biogas production? Identifying the likelihood of silage maize for biogas in Brandenburg from 2008-2018," FORLand Working Papers 16 (2019), Humboldt University Berlin, DFG Research Unit 2569 FORLand "Agricultural Land Markets – Efficiency and Regulation".
    2. Carmen-Paz Castro & Juan-Pablo Sarmiento & Rosita Edwards & Gabriela Hoberman & Katherine Wyndham, 2017. "Disaster risk perception in urban contexts and for people with disabilities: case study on the city of Iquique (Chile)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 411-436, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Disaster Risk Assessment; Comprehensive Disaster Risk Index; AHP; Commensurability; Risk Perception;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making

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