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Projecting Tax Revenues

In: Tax Policy and Uncertainty

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Abstract

This chapter presents a framework for projecting personal income tax revenue, along with revenue from a broad-based goods and services tax, and capital income tax. The model allows for changing age-income profiles over time. The tax system is applied and total revenue at each date is obtained by aggregating over the cross-section of all cohorts existing at that date. With additional information about the changing propensity to consume over the life cycle, the model is also used to project revenue from indirect taxation. The model deals with population ageing, and involves the use of age-income profiles for males and females, and income arising from government benefits. Variations in average effective tax rates over time are produced.

Suggested Citation

  • ., 2020. "Projecting Tax Revenues," Chapters, in: Tax Policy and Uncertainty, chapter 2, pages 7-28, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:eechap:20207_2
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    Cited by:

    1. Gupta, Ankit & Davis, Matthew & Kumar, Amit, 2021. "An integrated assessment framework for the decarbonization of the electricity generation sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    2. Dougier, Nathanael & Garambois, Pierre & Gomand, Julien & Roucoules, Lionel, 2021. "Multi-objective non-weighted optimization to explore new efficient design of electrical microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    3. Liu, Jia & Ma, Tao & Wu, Huijun & Yang, Hongxing, 2023. "Study on optimum energy fuel mix for urban cities integrated with pumped hydro storage and green vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    4. Bichaye Tesfaye & Monica Lengoiboni & Jaap Zevenbergen & Belay Simane, 2023. "Rethinking the Impact of Land Certification on Tenure Security, Land Disputes, Land Management, and Agricultural Production: Insights from South Wello, Ethiopia," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-25, September.

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