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Alessia Paccagnini

Personal Details

First Name:Alessia
Middle Name:
Last Name:Paccagnini
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:ppa357
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://sites.google.com/site/alessiapaccagnini/
Twitter: @alessia_metrics
Mastodon: @Alessia_Metrics@econtwitter.net
Terminal Degree:2009 Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(1%) Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)
Crawford School of Public Policy
Australian National University

Canberra, Australia
https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/
RePEc:edi:cmanuau (more details at EDIRC)

(99%) Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business
School of Business
University College Dublin

Dublin, Ireland
http://www.smurfitschool.ie/
RePEc:edi:dbucdie (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Valentina Colombo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2024. "Uncertainty and the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Monetary Policy," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def131, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
  2. Alessia Paccagnini & Fabio Parla, 2023. "Financial Conditions for the US: Aggregate Supply or Aggregate Demand Shocks?," CAMA Working Papers 2023-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  3. Alessia Paccagnini & Fabio Parla, 2021. "Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2021-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  4. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2021. "Teaching Quantitative Courses Online: An International Survey," MPRA Paper 108330, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  6. Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  7. Valentina Colombo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of uncertainty shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2020-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  8. Juan Arismendi-Zambrano & Massimo Guidolin & Alessia Paccagnini, 2020. "Federal reserve chair communication sentiments’ heterogeneity, personal characteristics, and their impact on target rate discovery," CAMA Working Papers 2020-105, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  9. V. Colombo & A. Paccagnini, 2020. "Has the credit supply shock asymmetric effects on macroeconomic variables?," Working Papers wp1140, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  10. Marek Kwas & Alessia Paccagnini & Michal Rubaszek, 2020. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," CAMA Working Papers 2020-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  11. Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  12. Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2018. "Limited Asset Market Participation and the Euro Area Crisis. An Empirical DSGE Model," Working Papers 391, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
  13. Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2017. "PIIGS in the Euro area: An empirical DSGE model," Discussion Papers in Economics economics:201710, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
  14. Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stelios D. Bekiros, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance in an Estimated DSGE Model for the Euro Area: the Role of Expectations," Working Papers 201701, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  15. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Alessia Paccagnini, 2017. "Forecasting with FAVAR: macroeconomic versus financial factors," NBP Working Papers 256, Narodowy Bank Polski.
  17. Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7323, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  18. Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "In search of the Euro Area Fiscal Stance," Working Papers 324, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 24 Feb 2016.
  19. Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2016. "Great Recession, Slow Recovery and Muted Fiscal Policies in the US," Working Papers 201602, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  20. Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in an Inflation Targeting Economy: Structural Versus Non-Structural Models," Working Papers 201547, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  21. Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Oil Price Forecastability and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 298, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
  22. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Macroprudential policy and forecasting using Hybrid DSGE models with financial frictions and State space Markov-Switching TVP-VARs," Open Access publications 10197/7333, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  23. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Open Access publications 10197/7351, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  24. Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting in a DSGE Model with Banking Intermediation: Evidence from the US," Working Papers 292, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
  25. Bekiros, Stelios D.; Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania, 2015. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a forecastability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2015/04, European University Institute.
  26. Riccardo M. Masolo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "Identifying Noise Shocks: a VAR with Data Revisions," Discussion Papers 1510, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  27. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 2014-426, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  28. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Open Access publications 10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  29. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7322, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  30. Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014. "Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area," Working Papers 286, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2014.
  31. Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure during the Great Moderation," Working Papers 274, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2014.
  32. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Forecasting the US Economy with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive DSGE model," Working Papers 2014-183, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  33. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Bayesian Forecasting with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive DSGE model," Working Paper series 22_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  34. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Open Access publications 10197/7326, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  35. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mampho Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "DGSE Model-Based Forecasting of Modeled and Non-Modeled Inflation Variables in South Africa," Working Papers 259, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2013.
  36. Alessia Paccagnini, 2012. "Comparing Hybrid DSGE Models," Working Papers 228, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2012.
  37. Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions?," Open Access publications 10197/7587, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  38. Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment," Open Access publications 10197/7585, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  39. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2010. "DSGE Model Validation in a Bayesian Framework: an Assessment," MPRA Paper 24509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  40. Favero, Carlo A. & Consolo, Agostino & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009. "On the Statistical Identification of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

Articles

  1. Luca Pistilli & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefano Breschi & Franco Malerba, 2023. "Gender Bias in Entrepreneurship: What is the Role of the Founders’ Entrepreneurial Background?," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 187(2), pages 325-346, October.
  2. Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
  3. Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2022. "Common factors and the dynamics of cereal prices. A forecasting perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  4. Galena Pisoni & Alessia Paccagnini & Claudia Tarantola & Alessandra Tanda & Albulena Shala & Kherbouche Meriem, 2022. "SI women in Fintech and AI," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 263-264, December.
  5. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  6. Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2021. "Common factors and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  7. Alessia Paccagnini, 2021. "Editorial for Special Issue “New Frontiers in Forecasting the Business Cycle and Financial Markets”," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-3, July.
  8. Colombo, Valentina & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2020. "Does the credit supply shock have asymmetric effects on macroeconomic variables?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  9. Riccardo M. Masolo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2019. "Identifying Noise Shocks: A VAR with Data Revisions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2145-2172, December.
  10. Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
  11. Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
  12. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2019. "Did financial factors matter during the Great Recession?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 26-30.
  13. Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
  14. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "Policy‐Oriented Macroeconomic Forecasting with Hybrid DGSE and Time‐Varying Parameter VAR Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 613-632, November.
  15. Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
  16. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2016. "The macroeconomic determinants of the US term structure during the Great Moderation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 216-225.
  17. Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
  18. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 125-128.
  19. Bekiros Stelios & Paccagnini Alessia, 2015. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 107-136, April.
  20. Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. Kanda & Mampho P. Modise & Alessia Paccagnini, 2015. "DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 207-221, January.
  21. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
  22. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
  23. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
  24. Marcella Nicolini & Alessia Paccagnini, 2011. "Does Trade Foster Institutions? An Empirical Assessment," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(2).
  25. Consolo, Agostino & Favero, Carlo A. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2009. "On the statistical identification of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 99-115, May.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 46 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (33) 2013-11-29 2013-12-06 2014-06-07 2014-07-28 2015-01-03 2015-02-22 2015-04-02 2015-04-11 2015-06-05 2015-09-26 2015-11-21 2015-12-28 2015-12-28 2016-01-03 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2016-01-29 2016-02-04 2016-03-17 2016-03-23 2016-05-21 2016-09-11 2016-09-11 2017-04-23 2017-05-07 2018-01-22 2018-01-29 2019-07-22 2019-12-02 2020-01-13 2020-09-07 2021-03-22 2022-02-07. Author is listed
  2. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (27) 2009-02-28 2010-08-28 2013-03-16 2013-05-22 2013-11-29 2013-12-06 2014-03-30 2014-07-28 2015-01-03 2015-02-22 2015-06-27 2015-09-26 2015-11-21 2015-12-28 2015-12-28 2016-01-03 2016-01-18 2016-01-29 2016-03-23 2016-05-21 2016-05-21 2016-09-11 2017-04-23 2018-01-22 2018-01-29 2019-07-22 2019-12-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (27) 2009-02-28 2013-03-16 2013-05-22 2013-11-29 2013-12-06 2014-03-30 2014-07-28 2015-02-22 2015-04-02 2015-04-11 2015-06-27 2015-09-26 2015-11-21 2015-12-28 2016-01-03 2016-01-18 2016-01-18 2016-01-29 2016-02-04 2016-05-21 2016-09-11 2017-05-07 2019-12-02 2020-06-15 2020-10-19 2021-08-09 2022-03-21. Author is listed
  4. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (12) 2013-11-29 2013-12-06 2014-06-07 2015-06-27 2015-12-28 2016-01-18 2016-01-29 2017-04-23 2020-01-13 2021-01-25 2023-03-06 2024-03-11. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (8) 2009-02-28 2010-08-28 2015-06-05 2016-05-21 2016-09-11 2018-01-29 2021-03-22 2022-02-07. Author is listed
  6. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (8) 2015-04-02 2015-11-21 2016-05-21 2019-12-02 2020-06-15 2020-10-19 2021-08-09 2022-02-07. Author is listed
  7. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (6) 2009-02-28 2015-06-27 2016-01-03 2020-09-07 2021-01-25 2024-03-11. Author is listed
  8. NEP-EEC: European Economics (6) 2015-01-03 2016-03-17 2016-03-23 2016-09-11 2017-04-23 2018-01-22. Author is listed
  9. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (5) 2013-05-22 2015-06-05 2015-12-28 2021-03-22 2022-02-07. Author is listed
  10. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (4) 2015-04-02 2015-04-11 2016-01-18 2016-02-04
  11. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (3) 2016-09-11 2020-01-13 2023-03-06
  12. NEP-AFR: Africa (2) 2013-11-29 2013-12-06
  13. NEP-BAN: Banking (2) 2022-03-21 2024-03-11
  14. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (2) 2010-08-28 2021-01-25
  15. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (2) 2022-02-07 2022-03-21
  16. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2020-06-15
  17. NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (1) 2022-02-07
  18. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2018-01-22
  19. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2022-03-21

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