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Shaun P. Vahey

Personal Details

First Name:Shaun
Middle Name:P.
Last Name:Vahey
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pva129
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Terminal Degree:1995 Vancouver School of Economics; University of British Columbia (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Warwick Business School
University of Warwick

Coventry, United Kingdom
http://www.wbs.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:wbswauk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Tony Chernis & Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2022. "Reassessing the dependence between economic growth and financial conditions since 1973," CAMA Working Papers 2022-30, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2020. "Financial conditions and the risks to economic growth in the United States since 1875," CAMA Working Papers 2020-36, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  3. Ozer Karagedikli & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2019. "Improved methods for combining point forecasts for an asymmetrically distributed variable," CAMA Working Papers 2019-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  4. Anthony Garratt & Timo Henckel & Shaun P. Vahey, 2019. "Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools," CAMA Working Papers 2019-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  5. Anthony Garratt & Shaun P. Vahey & Yunyi Zhang, 2018. "Real-time forecast combinations for the oil price," CAMA Working Papers 2018-38, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  6. Christopher McDonald & Craig Thamotheram & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2016. "Assessing the economic value of probabilistic forecasts in the presence of an inflation target," CAMA Working Papers 2016-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  7. Coe, Patrick J & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Probablistic Prediction of the US Great Recession with Historical Expert," EMF Research Papers 06, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
  8. Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Probability Forecasting for Inflation Warnings from the Federal Reserve," EMF Research Papers 07, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
  9. Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2011. "Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2011-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  10. Timo Henckel & Shaun Vahey & Liz Wakerly, 2011. "Probabilistic interest rate setting with a shadow board: A description of the pilot project," CAMA Working Papers 2011-27, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  11. James M. Nason & Shaun P. Vahey, 2011. "UK World War I and Interwar Data for Business Cycle and Growth Analysis," CAMA Working Papers 2011-02, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  12. Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper 2010/02, Norges Bank.
  13. Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Macro modelling with many models," Working Paper 2009/15, Norges Bank.
  14. Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Working Paper 2009/23, Norges Bank.
  15. Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0910, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  16. Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  17. Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence," Working Paper 2008/17, Norges Bank.
  18. Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Paper 2008/01, Norges Bank.
  19. James M. Nason & Shaun P. Vahey, 2007. "The McKenna rule and U.K. World War I finance," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2007-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  20. Anthony Garratt & Gary Koop & Emi Mise & Shaun P Vahey, 2007. "Real-time Prediction with UK Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0714, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  21. Anthony Garratt & Gary Koop & Shaun P. Vahey, 2006. "Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0617, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  22. James M. Nason & Shaun P. Vahey, 2006. "Interwar U.K. unemployment: the Benjamin and Kochin hypothesis or the legacy of “just” taxes?," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2006-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  23. Anthony Garratt & Shaun P Vahey, 2005. "UK Real-Time Macro Data Characteristics," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0502, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  24. Shaun P. Vahey & James M. Nason, 2005. "Over the Top: U.K. World War I Finance and Its Aftermath," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 22, Society for Computational Economics.
  25. Coe, P.J. & Pesaran, M.H. & Vahey, S.P., 2003. "Scope for Cost Minimization in Public Debt Management: the Case of the UK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0338, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  26. Loukoianova, E. & Vahey, S.P. & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2002. "A Real Time Tax Smoothing Based Fiscal Policy Rule," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0235, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  27. Egginton, Donald & Andreas Pick & Shaun P. Vahey, 2002. "Keep It Real!: A Real-time UK Macro Data Set," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 69, Royal Economic Society.
  28. Coe, P. & Vahey S.P. & Wakerly, E.C., 2000. "The Transparency and Accountability of UK Debt Management: A Proposal," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0028, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  29. Coe, P. & Pesaran, M.H. & Vahey, S.P., 2000. "The Cost Efficiency of UK Debt Management: A Recursive Modelling Approach," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0005, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  30. Vahey, S.P., 1996. "Compensating Differentials: Some Canadian Self-Report Evidence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9608, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  31. Danny Quah & Shaun Vahey, 1995. "Measuring Core Inflation," Bank of England working papers 31, Bank of England.
  32. Danny Quah & Shaun P. Vahey, 1995. "Measuring Core Inflation (Now published in Economic Journal, vol. 105, No. 432 (September 1995), pp.1130-1144.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 282, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.

Articles

  1. Tony Chernis & Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2023. "Reassessing the dependence between economic growth and financial conditions since 1973," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 260-267, March.
  2. Garratt, Anthony & Henckel, Timo & Vahey, Shaun P., 2023. "Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 736-753.
  3. Anthony Garratt & Shaun P. Vahey & Yunyi Zhang, 2019. "Real‐time forecast combinations for the oil price," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 456-462, April.
  4. Michael S. Smith & Shaun P. Vahey, 2016. "Asymmetric Forecast Densities for U.S. Macroeconomic Variables from a Gaussian Copula Model of Cross-Sectional and Serial Dependence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 416-434, July.
  5. Ravazzolo Francesco & Vahey Shaun P., 2014. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 367-381, September.
  6. Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 268-279.
  7. James M. Nason & Shaun P. Vahey, 2012. "UK World War I and interwar data for business cycle and growth analysis," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 6(2), pages 115-142, May.
  8. Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1659-1670, October.
  9. Lees, Kirdan & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011. "Nowcasting and model combination," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-4, January.
  10. Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011. "Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
  11. Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
  12. Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "RBCs AND DSGEs: THE COMPUTATIONAL APPROACH TO BUSINESS CYCLE THEORY AND EVIDENCE," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 113-136, February.
  13. Steven N. Durlauf & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Introduction: 'Model uncertainty and macroeconomics'," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 1-3.
  14. Garratt, Anthony & Koop, Gary & Mise, Emi & Vahey, Shaun P., 2009. "Real-Time Prediction With U.K. Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 480-491.
  15. Anthony Garratt & Gary Koop & ShaunP. Vahey, 2008. "Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(530), pages 1128-1144, July.
  16. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Vahey, Shaun, 2008. "Real-time probability forecasts of UK macroeconomic events," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203, pages 78-90, January.
  17. Shaun P. Vahey & James M. Nason, 2007. "The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(2), pages 290-294, May.
  18. Anthony Garratt & Shaun P Vahey, 2006. "UK Real-Time Macro Data Characteristics," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(509), pages 119-135, February.
  19. Patrick J. Coe & M. Hashem Pesaran & Shaun P. Vahey, 2005. "The Cost Effectiveness of the UK's Sovereign Debt Portfolio," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(4), pages 467-495, August.
  20. Vahey, Shaun P., 2004. "Signalling ability to pay and rent sharing dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2327-2339, October.
  21. Shaun P. Vahey & Andreas Pick & Don M. Egginton, 2001. ""Keep it real!": A real-time UK macro data set," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(18), pages 1.
  22. Vahey, Shaun P., 2000. "The great Canadian training robbery: evidence on the returns to educational mismatch," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 219-227, April.
  23. Quah, Danny & Vahey, Shaun P, 1995. "Measuring Core Inflation?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(432), pages 1130-1144, September.

Chapters

  1. Shaun P Vahey & Elizabeth C Wakerly, 2013. "Moving towards probability forecasting," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 3-8, Bank for International Settlements.
  2. Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P Vahey, 2010. "Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, Reserve Bank of Australia.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 32 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (17) 2006-04-08 2006-12-16 2007-09-30 2008-09-29 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-03-20 2010-05-02 2016-07-09 2016-07-16 2018-08-13 2018-10-22 2019-02-18 2019-07-08. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (17) 2005-02-20 2006-04-08 2006-12-16 2007-05-12 2007-09-30 2007-11-17 2008-09-29 2008-11-11 2009-08-30 2009-09-11 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2010-12-18 2011-03-05 2016-07-09 2016-07-16 2020-06-22. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (14) 2006-04-08 2007-09-30 2007-11-17 2008-09-29 2008-11-11 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-03-20 2010-12-18 2011-07-02 2016-07-16. Author is listed
  4. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (14) 2006-04-08 2007-09-30 2007-11-17 2008-09-29 2008-11-11 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-03-20 2010-05-02 2016-07-09 2019-02-18 2019-07-08. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (9) 2005-02-20 2006-04-08 2006-12-16 2007-09-30 2009-12-19 2010-03-20 2010-05-02 2010-12-18 2019-02-18. Author is listed
  6. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (7) 2007-09-30 2008-09-29 2009-08-30 2009-12-19 2010-12-18 2016-07-09 2016-07-16. Author is listed
  7. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (6) 2000-08-15 2007-02-17 2007-05-12 2009-09-11 2011-03-05 2020-06-22. Author is listed
  8. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (4) 2007-11-17 2008-11-11 2009-08-30 2009-12-19
  9. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (4) 2003-08-24 2006-05-27 2007-02-17 2007-05-12
  10. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (3) 2009-09-11 2020-06-22 2022-06-20
  11. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2003-08-24 2007-09-30
  12. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2018-08-13 2018-10-22
  13. NEP-CFN: Corporate Finance (1) 2003-08-24
  14. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2008-11-11
  15. NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2016-07-16
  16. NEP-IND: Industrial Organization (1) 2000-08-15
  17. NEP-MIC: Microeconomics (1) 2002-11-20
  18. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2020-06-22
  19. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (1) 2007-05-12

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